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ANABAnaptysBio, Inc.Sell6.3·$51.00
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AnaptysBio has delivered four consecutive earnings beats with an average positive surprise exceeding 59%, momentum is technically constructive with a golden cross and above all moving averages, but the pipeline is concentrated in a single asset partnered with one counterparty, and quality remains below the minimum threshold.

Thesis pillars

  • Pipeline Counterparty Concentration Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Quality Below Minimum Threshold↑Improving
  • Exceptional Earnings Beat Pattern→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AnaptysBio, Inc. (ANAB) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 5.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 41%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.26; Negative price momentum.

AnaptysBio develops antibody therapeutics for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases with three wholly owned clinical-stage candidates: rosnilimab (Phase 2b completed for RA), ANB033 (Phase 1b for celiac disease and EoE), and ANB101 (Phase 1a). Revenue came from GSK milestones and... Read more

$51.00+51.0% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#25 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $47.97Target $77.00(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.3:1
Analyst target$88.50+73.5%8 analysts
$77.00our TP
$51.00price
$88.50mean
$140

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 5.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 41%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.26; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About AnaptysBio, Inc.

About AnaptysBio, Inc.

AnaptysBio's lead asset, rosnilimab, completed a 424-patient global Phase 2b trial for moderate-to-severe rheumatoid arthritis in 2025, meeting its primary DAS28-CRP endpoint across all three doses; ACR20 response at the 600 mg Q2W dose reached 75.2% versus 52.8% for placebo. The company had no product revenue in 2025, earning milestone and royalty income from GSK's Jemperli collaboration — GSK reported $1.1 billion in Jemperli sales for 2025, up more than 80% from $598 million in 2024.

AnaptysBio earns revenue from two financial collaborations: tiered royalties from GSK on Jemperli net sales (ranging from 8% below $1.0 billion to 25% above $2.5 billion under Amendment No. 3 to the GSK Agreement), with a $250.0 million royalty monetization agreement with Sagard Healthcare Royalty Partners limiting near-term cash receipts; and a license to Vanda Pharmaceuticals for imsidolimab (IL-36R antagonist), which provided a $10.0 million upfront payment plus $5.0 million for drug supply and up to $35.0 million in future milestones plus 10% royalties on net sales. In April 2026, the company completed the spin-off of First Tracks Biotherapeutics to hold those two financial collaborations. Two additional wholly owned programs are in early development: ANB033 (CD122 antagonist) is in Phase 1b cohorts for celiac disease and eosinophilic esophagitis, and ANB101 (BDCA2 modulator) entered a Phase 1 trial in healthy volunteers in March 2025.

Show full overview

The critical near-term milestone for AnaptysBio is the Phase 3 advancement decision for rosnilimab in rheumatoid arthritis, which the company stated it plans to update on in the first half of 2026. The 10-K discloses that while rosnilimab achieved positive Phase 2b results in RA, a prior Phase 2 trial in ulcerative colitis was not positive — demonstrating the indication-level binary risk for a multi-indication development program. The FDA accepted Vanda's BLA for imsidolimab in February 2026 with a target action date of December 12, 2026; approval would trigger the $5.0 million FDA milestone under the Vanda License Agreement, now accruing to First Tracks Biotherapeutics following the spin-off.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From AnaptysBio, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: GSK
Concentration risk — Pipeline: rosnilimab
Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)9.3
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA25.1
Profit Mgn247.0%
ROE—
Rev Growth23.5%
Beta0.41
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.26bearish
IV69%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyGSK
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our existing collaboration with GSK and other collaborations are important to our business ... If we are unable to maintain the GSK collaboration, or if this collaboration is not successful, our business could be adversely affected.'
  • HIGHpipelinerosnilimab
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are assessing advancement to Phase 3 of clinical development of rosnilimab for RA, and have no history of commercializing biotechnology products'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02LOW
    Christopher M. Murphy appointed CFO of AnaptysBio effective May 11, 2026; previously CFO of Third Harmonic Bio (Jan 2024–Dec 2025). Clean handoff; no disagreement with company practices cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-20Item 1.01MEDIUM
    AnaptysBio entered Separation and Distribution Agreement and Transition Services Agreement on April 20, 2026 completing spin-off of First Tracks Biotherapeutics; TRAX shares distributed pro rata to ANAB shareholders; TRAX began trading on Nasdaq.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-27Item 1.01MEDIUM
    Board approved spin-off of First Tracks Biotherapeutics on March 26, 2026; SpinCo entered private placement Purchase Agreement at $13.81/share for approximately $80 million gross proceeds from third-party investors.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Short Interest
0.0
Days To Cover
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Volatility
0.4
Implied Vol
1.8
Beta
10.0
High short interest: 41%Elevated put/call: 2.26High IV: 69%Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.4
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 24)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 5.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
24 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.45Resistance $58.77

Price Targets

$48
$77
A.Upside+51.0%
A.R:R5.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANAB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.3/10 and A.R:R 5.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 41%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.26; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $47.97. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANAB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $77.00 (+51.0% upside). Prior stop was $47.97. Stop-loss: $47.97.

What are the risks of investing in ANAB?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: GSK; Concentration risk — Pipeline: rosnilimab; Risk below floor (1.7 < 3.0).

Is ANAB overvalued or undervalued?

AnaptysBio, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ANAB?

17 analysts cover ANAB with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $89.

What does AnaptysBio, Inc. do?AnaptysBio develops antibody therapeutics for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases with three wholly owned...

AnaptysBio develops antibody therapeutics for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases with three wholly owned clinical-stage candidates: rosnilimab (Phase 2b completed for RA), ANB033 (Phase 1b for celiac disease and EoE), and ANB101 (Phase 1a). Revenue came from GSK milestones and royalties on Jemperli and Vanda licensing fees; in April 2026 those financial collaborations were spun off into First Tracks Biotherapeutics.

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