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ANABAnaptysBio, Inc.Hold6.4·$47.51
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AnaptysBio is a speculative biotech with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, strong peer-best margins and 57.2% upside to the analyst target, but it is heavily dependent on GSK and one pipeline asset and carries 40% short interest.

Thesis pillars

  • Gsk Pipeline Concentration Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Consistent Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Revenue Growth Lumpy Milestones→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AnaptysBio, Inc. (ANAB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-11). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: GSK; Concentration risk — Pipeline: rosnilimab.

AnaptysBio develops antibody therapeutics for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases with three wholly owned clinical-stage candidates: rosnilimab (Phase 2b completed for RA), ANB033 (Phase 1b for celiac disease and EoE), and ANB101 (Phase 1a). Revenue came from GSK milestones and... Read more

$47.51+59.8% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#21 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $44.18Analyst target $75.91(−13% haircut)A.R:R 5.8:1
Analyst consensus$87.25+83.6%8 analysts with price targets
$75.91Analyst target
$47.51price
$87.25mean
$140

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: GSK; Concentration risk — Pipeline: rosnilimab. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About AnaptysBio, Inc.

About AnaptysBio, Inc.

AnaptysBio's lead asset, rosnilimab, completed a 424-patient global Phase 2b trial for moderate-to-severe rheumatoid arthritis in 2025, meeting its primary DAS28-CRP endpoint across all three doses; ACR20 response at the 600 mg Q2W dose reached 75.2% versus 52.8% for placebo. The company had no product revenue in 2025, earning milestone and royalty income from GSK's Jemperli collaboration — GSK reported $1.1 billion in Jemperli sales for 2025, up more than 80% from $598 million in 2024.

AnaptysBio earns revenue from two financial collaborations: tiered royalties from GSK on Jemperli net sales (ranging from 8% below $1.0 billion to 25% above $2.5 billion under Amendment No. 3 to the GSK Agreement), with a $250.0 million royalty monetization agreement with Sagard Healthcare Royalty Partners limiting near-term cash receipts; and a license to Vanda Pharmaceuticals for imsidolimab (IL-36R antagonist), which provided a $10.0 million upfront payment plus $5.0 million for drug supply and up to $35.0 million in future milestones plus 10% royalties on net sales. In April 2026, the company completed the spin-off of First Tracks Biotherapeutics to hold those two financial collaborations. Two additional wholly owned programs are in early development: ANB033 (CD122 antagonist) is in Phase 1b cohorts for celiac disease and eosinophilic esophagitis, and ANB101 (BDCA2 modulator) entered a Phase 1 trial in healthy volunteers in March 2025.

Show full overview

The critical near-term milestone for AnaptysBio is the Phase 3 advancement decision for rosnilimab in rheumatoid arthritis, which the company stated it plans to update on in the first half of 2026. The 10-K discloses that while rosnilimab achieved positive Phase 2b results in RA, a prior Phase 2 trial in ulcerative colitis was not positive — demonstrating the indication-level binary risk for a multi-indication development program. The FDA accepted Vanda's BLA for imsidolimab in February 2026 with a target action date of December 12, 2026; approval would trigger the $5.0 million FDA milestone under the Vanda License Agreement, now accruing to First Tracks Biotherapeutics following the spin-off.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From AnaptysBio, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 31, 2026
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: GSK
Concentration risk — Pipeline: rosnilimab
Leverage penalty (D/E 25.5): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)10.5
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA23.2
Profit Mgn247.0%
ROE—
Rev Growth23.5%
Beta0.37
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.85neutral
IV303%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyGSK
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our existing collaboration with GSK and other collaborations are important to our business ... If we are unable to maintain the GSK collaboration, or if this collaboration is not successful, our business could be adversely affected.'
  • HIGHpipelinerosnilimab
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are assessing advancement to Phase 3 of clinical development of rosnilimab for RA, and have no history of commercializing biotechnology products'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-11Item 5.02LOW
    Christopher M. Murphy appointed CFO of AnaptysBio effective May 11, 2026; previously CFO of Third Harmonic Bio (Jan 2024–Dec 2025). Clean handoff; no disagreement with company practices cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-20Item 1.01MEDIUM
    AnaptysBio entered Separation and Distribution Agreement and Transition Services Agreement on April 20, 2026 completing spin-off of First Tracks Biotherapeutics; TRAX shares distributed pro rata to ANAB shareholders; TRAX began trading on Nasdaq.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-27Item 1.01MEDIUM
    Board approved spin-off of First Tracks Biotherapeutics on March 26, 2026; SpinCo entered private placement Purchase Agreement at $13.81/share for approximately $80 million gross proceeds from third-party investors.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Volatile — 5.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Days To Cover
0.7
Put Call
7.7
Beta
10.0
High short interest: 40%High IV: 303%Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 5.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
47 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $44.02Resistance $51.85

Price Targets

$44
$76
A.Upside+59.8%
A.R:R5.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ANAB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.51, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: GSK; Concentration risk — Pipeline: rosnilimab. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $75.91 (+59.8%), stop $44.18 (−7.5%), A.R:R 5.8:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ANAB stock price target?

Analyst target: $75.91 (+59.8% upside). Analyst target $75.91 (+59.8%), stop $44.18 (−7.5%), A.R:R 5.8:1. Stop-loss: $44.18.

What are the risks of investing in ANAB?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: GSK; Concentration risk — Pipeline: rosnilimab; Leverage penalty (D/E 25.5): -1.5.

Is ANAB overvalued or undervalued?

AnaptysBio, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ANAB?

15 analysts rate ANAB, with a consensus score of 4.3/5. 8 analysts publish price targets averaging $87.

What does AnaptysBio, Inc. do?AnaptysBio develops antibody therapeutics for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases with three wholly owned...

AnaptysBio develops antibody therapeutics for autoimmune and inflammatory diseases with three wholly owned clinical-stage candidates: rosnilimab (Phase 2b completed for RA), ANB033 (Phase 1b for celiac disease and EoE), and ANB101 (Phase 1a). Revenue came from GSK milestones and royalties on Jemperli and Vanda licensing fees; in April 2026 those financial collaborations were spun off into First Tracks Biotherapeutics.

Related stocks: HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · ZVRA (Zevra Therapeutics, Inc.) · CRMD (CorMedix Inc.) · PHAT (Phathom Pharmaceuticals, Inc.) · INVA (Innoviva, Inc.)
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