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AIIORobo.ai Inc.Sell4.1·$4.40+5.61%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Robo.ai is attempting to stabilize after a near-total -99% drawdown, but a 0.8 quality score, a sub-1.0 current ratio, a confirmed price downtrend, and zero modeled upside all argue against treating this as a genuine recovery yet.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Drawdown Recovery AttemptStable
  • Quality Floor Weak LiquidityStable
  • Confirmed Downtrend DivergenceStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Robo.ai Inc. (AIIO) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.40: Quality below floor (0.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Robo.ai Inc., a smart passenger vehicle company, provides passenger-centric mobility and green energy solutions in the United States, the United Arab Emirates, and Mainland China. It develops electric vehicles, including MUSE, GHIATH, and autonomous logistics vehicles; and Astra... Read more

$4.40+32.9% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#17 of 17 Auto Manufacturers
QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield8.90%
Stop $4.19Target $5.98(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.40: Quality below floor (0.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07

Recent Developments — Robo.ai Inc.

Generated 2026-07-07T11:31:43Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (0.8 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 4.5), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.06% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$581M
EV/EBITDA-0.6
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth-98.2%
Beta2.01
DividendNone
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
0.0
Current Ratio
0.3
Moat
3.8
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
1.8
Gap
3.0
Support Resistance
4.3
Extreme gap up (5.5%) - may pull back

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.3
Ma Position
4.0
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -30.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Quality Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $2.39Resistance $6.10

Price Targets

$4
$6
A.Upside+35.9%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (0.8 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 4.5), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.06% of cap)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for AIIO.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AIIO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.40: Quality below floor (0.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Prior stop was $4.19. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AIIO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.98 (+32.9% upside). Prior stop was $4.19. Stop-loss: $4.19.

What are the risks of investing in AIIO?

Quality below floor (0.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 4.5), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.06% of cap).

Is AIIO overvalued or undervalued?

Robo.ai Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

0
What does Robo.ai Inc. do?Robo.ai Inc., a smart passenger vehicle company, provides passenger-centric mobility and green energy solutions in the...

Robo.ai Inc., a smart passenger vehicle company, provides passenger-centric mobility and green energy solutions in the United States, the United Arab Emirates, and Mainland China. It develops electric vehicles, including MUSE, GHIATH, and autonomous logistics vehicles; and Astra that offers intelligent logistics, automatic delivery, and shared travel solutions. The company is also involved in the wholesale and retail of vehicles; and sale of auto parts and materials. In addition, it provides business management, operations, commercialization, and warranty, as well as design and technology development services. The company was formerly known as NWTN, Inc. and changed its name to Robo.ai Inc. in August 2025. Robo.ai Inc. is headquartered in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates.

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