Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC) Stock Analysis
Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 37%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Acadia Healthcare operates 277 behavioral healthcare facilities with over 12,500 beds in 40 states and Puerto Rico, providing inpatient psychiatric, specialty substance use, and outpatient services. Revenue was $3,312.8 million in 2025; 57.7% from Medicaid, 24.6% from commercial... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 37%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 3/6 gates (clean insider activity, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHregulatoryMedicaid58%10-K Item 1: 'For the year ended December 31, 2025, we received 57.7% of our revenue from Medicaid, 24.6% from commercial payors, 14.3% from Medicare and 3.4% from other payors'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-23Item 5.02MEDIUMCFO Todd Young to resign effective April 30, 2026. David M. Duckworth appointed as Interim CFO effective May 1, 2026. Duckworth previously served as Acadia CFO from 2012–2023. No reason cited for Young departure.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-12Item 5.02LOWWade Miquelon retiring from Board at 2026 annual meeting (notified March 9). Daniel Cancelmi appointed as Class III director March 12, 2026, serving on Audit Committee. Board expanded from 10 to 11 directors.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -33.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.00: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 37%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $22.34. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $28.00 (+16.6% upside). Prior stop was $22.34. Stop-loss: $22.34.
Concentration risk — Regulatory: Medicaid (57.7%); Target reached (-12.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).
Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
20 analysts cover ACHC with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $24.
What does Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. do?Acadia Healthcare operates 277 behavioral healthcare facilities with over 12,500 beds in 40 states and Puerto Rico,...
Acadia Healthcare operates 277 behavioral healthcare facilities with over 12,500 beds in 40 states and Puerto Rico, providing inpatient psychiatric, specialty substance use, and outpatient services. Revenue was $3,312.8 million in 2025; 57.7% from Medicaid, 24.6% from commercial payors, and 14.3% from Medicare.