Skip to main content

AbCellera Biologics Inc. (ABCL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.12: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 6.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 18.67; Below-average business quality.

AbCellera Biologics Inc. engages in discovering and developing antibody-based medicines for indications with unmet medical need in the United States. Its lead product is ABCL635, an non-hormonal medicine, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat moderate-to-severe vasomotor... Read more

$4.12+101.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#93 of 158 Biotechnology
Stop $3.82Target $8.27(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 6.8:1
Analyst target$9.50+130.6%6 analysts
$8.27our TP
$4.12price
$9.50mean
$12

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.12: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 6.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 18.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-4.9
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA-3.9
Profit Mgn-194.9%
ROE-14.5%
Rev Growth788.2%
Beta0.85
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C18.67bearish
IV107%elevated
Max Pain$2-51.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Clinical-stage biotech: losses expected pre-commercialisation. Quality floor doesn't distinguish R&D investment from operational decay — components above tell the real story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -234% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Volatile — 6.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
1.5
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
7.9
Debt Equity
9.4
High short interest justified: 20%Elevated put/call: 18.67High IV: 107%Above max pain $2

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.4
Support Resistance
2.4
52w Position
2.6
Gap
5.0
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Momentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 6.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $3.22Resistance $4.38

Price Targets

$4
$8
A.Upside+100.7%
A.R:R6.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-11 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ABCL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.12: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 6.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 18.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Prior stop was $3.82. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ABCL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.27 (+101.5% upside). Prior stop was $3.82. Stop-loss: $3.82.

What are the risks of investing in ABCL?

Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0).

Is ABCL overvalued or undervalued?

AbCellera Biologics Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -4.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ABCL?

14 analysts cover ABCL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $10.

What does AbCellera Biologics Inc. do?AbCellera Biologics Inc. engages in discovering and developing antibody-based medicines for indications with unmet...

AbCellera Biologics Inc. engages in discovering and developing antibody-based medicines for indications with unmet medical need in the United States. Its lead product is ABCL635, an non-hormonal medicine, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat moderate-to-severe vasomotor symptoms; and ABCL575, a fully human, half-life extended monoclonal antibody, which is in in a Phase 1 clinical trial for treating T-cell-mediated autoimmune conditions, such as atopic dermatitis. The company has a research collaboration and license agreement with Eli Lilly and Company; AbbVie Inc.; and partnership agreement with Viking Global Investors & ArrowMark Partners and Biogen Inc. AbCellera Biologics Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: NVAX (Novavax, Inc.) · INVA (Innoviva, Inc.) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · CPRX (Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.)