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ABCLAbCellera Biologics Inc.Sell5.8·$8.17+10.70%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AbCellera Biologics has delivered 96% year-over-year revenue growth and beaten EPS estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, but the thesis hinges on whether the current cash burn — negative free cash flow at roughly 144% of revenue — narrows fast enough to allow quality metrics to recover; until it does, the stock remains speculative despite a favorable long-term risk/reward geometry.

Thesis pillars

  • Industry Leading Revenue GrowthStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • Negative Fcf Quality CeilingStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AbCellera Biologics Inc. (ABCL) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.17: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

AbCellera Biologics Inc. engages in discovering and developing antibody-based medicines for indications with unmet medical need in the United States. Its lead product is ABCL635, an non-hormonal medicine, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat moderate-to-severe vasomotor... Read more

$8.17+11.7% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#35 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-5.06%
Stop $7.55Target $9.07(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$10.43+27.6%7 analysts
$9.07our TP
$8.17price
$10.43mean
$7
$13

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.17: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29

Recent Developments — AbCellera Biologics Inc.

Generated 2026-06-29T23:58:55Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-10.3
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA-10.0
Profit Mgn-181.7%
ROE-14.7%
Rev Growth96.3%
Beta1.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV138%elevated
Max Pain$1-87.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Clinical-stage biotech: losses expected pre-commercialisation. Quality floor doesn't distinguish R&D investment from operational decay — components above tell the real story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.8
Cash-burning: FCF -144% of revenueQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.8
Quality Rank
3.3
Growth Rank
8.2
Industry growth leader

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Analyst Target
6.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.9
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.3
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotMomentum 8.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
84 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.01Resistance $8.42

Price Targets

$8
$9
A.Upside+11.0%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ABCL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.17: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $7.55. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ABCL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.07 (+11.7% upside). Prior stop was $7.55. Stop-loss: $7.55.

What are the risks of investing in ABCL?

Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is ABCL overvalued or undervalued?

AbCellera Biologics Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ABCL?

15 analysts cover ABCL with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $10.

What does AbCellera Biologics Inc. do?AbCellera Biologics Inc. engages in discovering and developing antibody-based medicines for indications with unmet...

AbCellera Biologics Inc. engages in discovering and developing antibody-based medicines for indications with unmet medical need in the United States. Its lead product is ABCL635, an non-hormonal medicine, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat moderate-to-severe vasomotor symptoms; and ABCL575, a fully human, half-life extended monoclonal antibody, which is in in a Phase 1 clinical trial for treating T-cell-mediated autoimmune conditions, such as atopic dermatitis. The company has a research collaboration and license agreement with Eli Lilly and Company; AbbVie Inc.; Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc to develop T-cell engaging (TCE) multispecific antibodies; and partnership agreement with Viking Global Investors & ArrowMark Partners and Biogen Inc. AbCellera Biologics Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · ADMA (ADMA Biologics Inc) · INVA (Innoviva, Inc.) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.)
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