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ZSZscaler, Inc.Hold5.6·$129.77+0.19%
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Zscaler, Inc. (ZS) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $129.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Zscaler provides a cloud-native Zero Trust security platform (Zero Trust Exchange) distributed across 160+ public exchanges globally, serving 9,400+ customers in 185+ countries including ~40% of the Forbes Global 2000. Revenue grew to $2,673M in fiscal 2025 (23% YoY), all from... Read more

$129.77+36.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#35 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.29%
Stop $120.83Target $177.61(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 2.5:1
Analyst target$193.05+48.8%45 analysts
$177.61our TP
$129.77price
$193.05mean
$250

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $129.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 2, 202679d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 37%
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)28.2
Mkt Cap$20.9B
EV/EBITDA-317.0
Profit Mgn-2.4%
ROE-3.7%
Rev Growth25.4%
Beta0.96
DividendNone
Rating analysts58

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.39bearish
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$116-10.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop five channel partners28%
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales through our top five channel partners and their affiliates, in aggregate, represented 28% of our revenue for fiscal 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-16Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Raj Judge, EVP Corporate Strategy, resigned as officer effective April 15, 2026; departure effective July 31, 2026. Also resigned from Board effective April 15, 2026. Board resignation not due to any disagreement. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.3
Value Rank
3.1
Growth Rank
6.6

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $119.50Resistance $191.25

Price Targets

$121
$178
A.Upside+36.9%
A.R:R2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-02 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $129.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $177.61 (+36.9%), stop $120.83 (−7.4%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $177.61 (+36.7% upside). Target $177.61 (+36.9%), stop $120.83 (−7.4%), A.R:R 2.5:1. Stop-loss: $120.83.

What are the risks of investing in ZS?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ZS overvalued or undervalued?

Zscaler, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 28.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ZS?

58 analysts cover ZS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $193.

What does Zscaler, Inc. do?Zscaler provides a cloud-native Zero Trust security platform (Zero Trust Exchange) distributed across 160+ public...

Zscaler provides a cloud-native Zero Trust security platform (Zero Trust Exchange) distributed across 160+ public exchanges globally, serving 9,400+ customers in 185+ countries including ~40% of the Forbes Global 2000. Revenue grew to $2,673M in fiscal 2025 (23% YoY), all from subscriptions sold primarily through channel partners.

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