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ZGZillow Group, Inc.Sell5.3·$33.96+5.40%
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Zillow Group, Inc. (ZG) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.96: Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 6.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Elevated put/call ratio: 11.67; Negative price momentum.

Zillow is the most-visited residential real estate app and website in the US, connecting buyers, sellers, renters, and real estate professionals via search, transaction, mortgage origination, and property management tools. Revenue comes primarily from residential agent... Read more

$33.96+65.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#17 of 27 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.87%
Stop $31.77Target $56.58(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 6.8:1
Analyst target$62.86+85.1%22 analysts
$56.58our TP
$33.96price
$62.86mean
$110

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.96: Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 6.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Elevated put/call ratio: 11.67; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Residential revenue (66.0%)
Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)128.9
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$7.4B
EV/EBITDA62.0
Profit Mgn2.3%
ROE1.3%
Rev Growth18.4%
Beta1.94
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C11.67bearish
IV115%elevated
Max Pain$90+165.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductResidential revenue66%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Residential revenue accounted for 66% of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMProductRentals revenue24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Rentals revenue accounted for 24% of total revenue for the same period'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
3.3
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -9.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
6.9

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Volatility
0.4
Short Interest
1.8
Beta
3.5
Max Pain Risk
7.0
Days To Cover
8.1
High short interest: 16%Elevated put/call: 11.67High IV: 115%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 6.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $31.83Resistance $39.62

Price Targets

$32
$57
A.Upside+66.6%
A.R:R6.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)
! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.96: Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 6.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Elevated put/call ratio: 11.67; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $31.77. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $56.58 (+65.6% upside). Prior stop was $31.77. Stop-loss: $31.77.

What are the risks of investing in ZG?

Concentration risk — Product: Residential revenue (66.0%); Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0).

Is ZG overvalued or undervalued?

Zillow Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 128.9 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ZG?

30 analysts cover ZG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $63.

What does Zillow Group, Inc. do?Zillow is the most-visited residential real estate app and website in the US, connecting buyers, sellers, renters, and...

Zillow is the most-visited residential real estate app and website in the US, connecting buyers, sellers, renters, and real estate professionals via search, transaction, mortgage origination, and property management tools. Revenue comes primarily from residential agent advertising (66% of 2025 total) and rentals marketplace products (24%), with 7,068 employees.

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