Skip to main content

Zillow Group, Inc. (ZG) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.06: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Zillow is the most-visited residential real estate app and website in the US, connecting buyers, sellers, renters, and real estate professionals via search, transaction, mortgage origination, and property management tools. Revenue comes primarily from residential agent... Read more

$38.06+53.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#18 of 27 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.28%
Stop $36.14Target $58.30(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 5.7:1
Analyst target$64.78+70.2%23 analysts
$58.30our TP
$38.06price
$64.78mean
$110

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.06: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 23, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Zillow Group, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Residential revenue (66.0%)
Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)152.2
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$8.7B
EV/EBITDA73.8
Profit Mgn2.3%
ROE1.3%
Rev Growth18.4%
Beta2.04
DividendNone
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductResidential revenue66%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Residential revenue accounted for 66% of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMProductRentals revenue24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Rentals revenue accounted for 24% of total revenue for the same period'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.3
Capitulation risk (RSI 23, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.3
Quality Rank
1.7
Growth Rank
6.9

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Debt Equity
0.0
Volatility
0.7
Short Interest
2.8
Beta
3.2
Days To Cover
7.1
Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
23 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $37.26Resistance $48.50

Price Targets

$36
$58
A.Upside+53.2%
A.R:R5.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)
! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.06: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 5.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 23, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $36.14. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.30 (+53.2% upside). Prior stop was $36.14. Stop-loss: $36.14.

What are the risks of investing in ZG?

Concentration risk — Product: Residential revenue (66.0%); Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0).

Is ZG overvalued or undervalued?

Zillow Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 152.2 (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ZG?

30 analysts cover ZG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $65.

What does Zillow Group, Inc. do?Zillow is the most-visited residential real estate app and website in the US, connecting buyers, sellers, renters, and...

Zillow is the most-visited residential real estate app and website in the US, connecting buyers, sellers, renters, and real estate professionals via search, transaction, mortgage origination, and property management tools. Revenue comes primarily from residential agent advertising (66% of 2025 total) and rentals marketplace products (24%), with 7,068 employees.

Related stocks: BZ (KANZHUN LIMITED - American Depo) · OPRA (Opera Limited) · RDDT (Reddit, Inc.) · MTCH (Match Group, Inc.) · JOYY (JOYY Inc.)