Zillow Group, Inc. (ZG) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Communication Services · Internet Content & Information
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.69: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 8.00; Below-average business quality.
Zillow operates the most-visited U.S. real estate marketplace, connecting buyers, renters, and sellers via a database of ~173M homes and the Zestimate AVM. Revenue comes from real estate partner advertising (residential 66%, rentals 24% of 2025 total revenue) and mortgage... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.69: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 8.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductResidential revenue66%10-K Item 1A: 'Residential revenue accounted for 66% of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'
- LOWProductRentals revenue24%10-K Item 1A: 'Rentals revenue accounted for 24% of total revenue for the same period'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.69: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 4.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 8.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Prior stop was $40.61. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $65.62 (+50.3% upside). Prior stop was $40.61. Stop-loss: $40.61.
Concentration risk — Product: Residential revenue (66.0%); Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0).
Zillow Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 482.8 (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
31 analysts cover ZG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $73.
What does Zillow Group, Inc. do?Zillow operates the most-visited U.S. real estate marketplace, connecting buyers, renters, and sellers via a database...
Zillow operates the most-visited U.S. real estate marketplace, connecting buyers, renters, and sellers via a database of ~173M homes and the Zestimate AVM. Revenue comes from real estate partner advertising (residential 66%, rentals 24% of 2025 total revenue) and mortgage origination via Zillow Home Loans.