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WBWeibo CorporationBuy Wait5.8·$6.75-0.15%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Weibo offers exceptional value with a forward P/E of 5.2x, a Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, and a quality score of 7.8, but trades in a confirmed falling-knife downtrend with RSI near oversold at 28 and a 64% margin of safety calculation that requires a reversal of the current negative price trend to realize.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value High Quality CombinationStable
  • Falling Knife Confirmed DowntrendDeteriorating
  • Earnings Inconsistency Recent MissesDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Weibo Corporation (WB) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitValueQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $6.79 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Weibo Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a social media platform for people to create, discover, and distribute content in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, Advertising and Marketing Services; and Value-Added Services. The company... Read more

$6.75+10.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#21 of 37 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield9.04%Payout50.41%sustainable
Entry $6.79(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $6.46Target $7.41(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$8.24+22.1%16 analysts
$7.41our TP
$6.75price
$8.24mean
$10

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $6.79 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 14, MACD bearish. Deep value: 63% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05

Recent Developments — Weibo Corporation

Generated 2026-09-05T15:11:58Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 17, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.6
P/E (Fwd)5.2
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA1.8
Profit Mgn17.8%
ROE8.5%
Rev Growth2.0%
Beta0.15
Dividend9.04%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
Max Pain$8+11.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.8
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Macd
3.1
Capitulation risk (RSI 14, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.0
Earnings Growth
3.4

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 9.0%
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
14 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.71Resistance $8.01

Price Targets

$6
$7
$7
A.Upside+10.3%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %1%
Max %2%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-17 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WB stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $6.79 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 14, MACD bearish. Deep value: 63% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $7.41 (+9.8%), stop $6.46 (−4.5%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.41 (+10.3% upside). Target $7.41 (+9.8%), stop $6.46 (−4.5%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $6.46.

What are the risks of investing in WB?

Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Is WB overvalued or undervalued?

Weibo Corporation trades at a P/E of 5.6 (forward 5.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about WB?

17 analysts cover WB with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Weibo Corporation do?Weibo Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a social media platform for people to create, discover, and...

Weibo Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a social media platform for people to create, discover, and distribute content in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, Advertising and Marketing Services; and Value-Added Services. The company offers discovery products to help users discover content on its platform; self-expression products that enable its users to express themselves on its platform; and social products to promote social interaction between users on its platform. It also provides advertising and marketing solutions, such as social display advertisements; and promoted marketing offerings, such as Fans Headline, Weibo Express, and promoted feeds, as well as promoted trends and search products that appear alongside user's trends discovery and search behaviors. In addition, the company offers products, such as trends, search, video/live streaming, and editing tools; content customization, copyright contents pooling, and user interaction development; and search list recommendation, trends list recommendation, and Weibo app opening advertisements. Further, it provides back-end management, traffic support, and product services for better displaying and promotion of its account and content; an open application platform that allows users to log into third-party applications with their Weibo account for sharing third-party content on its platform; and Weibo Wallet, a product that enables platform partners to conduct interest generation activities on Weibo, such as handing out red envelops and coupons. It serves ordinary people, celebrities, opinion leaders, and other public figures or influencers, as well as media outlets, businesses, government agencies, charities, and other organizations. The company was formerly known as T.CN Corporation and changed its name to Weibo Corporation in 2012. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

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