Skip to main content
WBWeibo CorporationBuy Wait5.8·$7.36-1.08%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Weibo offers exceptional value with a forward P/E of 5.2x, a Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, and a quality score of 7.8, but trades in a confirmed falling-knife downtrend with RSI near oversold at 28 and a 64% margin of safety calculation that requires a reversal of the current negative price trend to realize.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value High Quality CombinationStable
  • Falling Knife Confirmed DowntrendStable
  • Earnings Inconsistency Recent MissesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Weibo Corporation (WB) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $7.39 but below 200-day MA (death cross); weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Weibo Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a social media platform for people to create, discover, and distribute content in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, Advertising and Marketing Services; and Value-Added Services. The company... Read more

$7.36+12.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#16 of 37 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield8.28%Payout57.34%sustainable
Entry $7.39(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $7.10Target $8.13(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$9.04+22.8%16 analysts
$8.13our TP
$7.36price
$9.04mean
$7
$11

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $7.39 but below 200-day MA (death cross); weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Deep value: 66% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 66%
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.1
P/E (Fwd)5.0
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA2.1
Profit Mgn21.1%
ROE10.4%
Rev Growth6.2%
Beta0.17
Dividend8.28%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV38%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.7
Revenue Growth
4.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
2.6
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 828.0%
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.09Resistance $7.99

Price Targets

$7
$7
$8
A.Upside+10.5%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %2.3%
Max %4.6%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WB stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $7.39 but below 200-day MA (death cross); weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Deep value: 66% margin of safety. Extreme undervaluation. | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_NOW → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $8.13 (+10.5%), stop $7.10 (−3.7%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.13 (+12.8% upside). Target $8.13 (+10.5%), stop $7.10 (−3.7%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $7.10.

What are the risks of investing in WB?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is WB overvalued or undervalued?

Weibo Corporation trades at a P/E of 5.1 (forward 5.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about WB?

16 analysts cover WB with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Weibo Corporation do?Weibo Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a social media platform for people to create, discover, and...

Weibo Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a social media platform for people to create, discover, and distribute content in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, Advertising and Marketing Services; and Value-Added Services. The company offers discovery products to help users discover content on its platform; self-expression products that enable its users to express themselves on its platform; and social products to promote social interaction between users on its platform. It also provides advertising and marketing solutions, such as social display advertisements; and promoted marketing offerings, such as Fans Headline, Weibo Express, and promoted feeds, as well as promoted trends and search products that appear alongside user's trends discovery and search behaviors. In addition, the company offers products, such as trends, search, video/live streaming, and editing tools; content customization, copyright contents pooling, and user interaction development; and search list recommendation, trends list recommendation, and Weibo app opening advertisements. Further, it provides back-end management, traffic support, and product services for better displaying and promotion of its account and content; an open application platform that allows users to log into third-party applications with their Weibo account for sharing third-party content on its platform; and Weibo Wallet, a product that enables platform partners to conduct interest generation activities on Weibo, such as handing out red envelops and coupons. It serves ordinary people, celebrities, opinion leaders, and other public figures or influencers, as well as media outlets, businesses, government agencies, charities, and other organizations. The company was formerly known as T.CN Corporation and changed its name to Weibo Corporation in 2012. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Related stocks: BZ (KANZHUN LIMITED - American Depo) · EVER (EverQuote, Inc.) · MTCH (Match Group, Inc.) · OPRA (Opera Limited) · MAX (MediaAlpha, Inc.)
Home Stocks WB

Latest news

Latest News

Marketscreener.com40d agoEarnings
UBND thành phố Hải Phòng74d agoEarnings
Newser47d ago
TradingKey18d ago
Newsline.com19d ago
Investing.com South Africa26d ago
MarketBeat89d ago
Thelegaladvocate.com40d agoEarnings
Simplywall.st13d ago
AD HOC NEWS48d ago
Investing.com20d ago
AD HOC NEWS55d agoAnalyst
AD HOC NEWS55d ago
Investing.com India26d ago
Investing.com27d ago
AD HOC NEWS27d agoEarnings
Newsline.com27d ago
MarketBeat62d ago
Bitget33d agoAnalyst
Benzinga39d ago
Loading more...