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VOYGVoyager Technologies, Inc.Sell4.2·$42.92-3.07%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Voyager Technologies is an early-stage aerospace and defense company with 86% U.S. government customer concentration, quality metrics below the minimum investment threshold, three of four recent quarters missing earnings estimates, high short interest of 19%, and a stock trading above its analyst price target despite burning cash at 137% of revenue.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Quality Floor Cash BurningStable
  • Rich Valuation Above Analyst TargetDeteriorating
  • Government Customer Concentration RiskImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Voyager Technologies, Inc. (VOYG) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.92: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Voyager Technologies designs and operates defense technology and space systems across three segments — Defense & National Security, Space Solutions, and Starlab Space Stations — serving primarily U.S. government customers. Revenue was $166.4 million in 2025, with approximately... Read more

$42.92-7.8% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#62 of 62 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-10.45%
Stop $39.97Target $44.49(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$45.55+6.1%11 analysts
$44.49our TP
$42.92price
$45.55mean
$21
$65

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.92: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Voyager Technologies, Inc.

About Voyager Technologies, Inc.

Voyager Technologies generated $166.4 million in revenue for fiscal year 2025, up from $144.2 million in 2024, with approximately 86% derived from U.S. government contracts across three segments — Defense & National Security, Space Solutions, and Starlab Space Stations. Founded in 2019 and expanded through 12 acquisitions, the company has received $183.2 million of its $217.5 million NASA development grant for Starlab and reported a net loss of $112.3 million for 2025.

Revenue comes primarily through government and commercial contracts, including approximately 13.9% from development contracts in 2025 under terms that include fixed-price arrangements exposing the company to cost-overrun risk. The Defense & National Security segment covers solid propulsion for Lockheed Martin's Next Generation Interceptor program, signals intelligence analytics via the August 2025 EMSI acquisition, and guidance and navigation systems. Space Solutions manages mission operations for NASA and commercial customers through the Bishop Airlock — the first privately-owned ISS module — and has overseen more than 1,000 customer space missions across 35 nations. Starlab, the company's third segment, holds a $217.5 million NASA Phase I development grant and operates through a joint venture with Airbus, Mitsubishi, MDA Space, and Palantir as equity partners; launch is anticipated in 2029. Competitors include Northrop Grumman, Raytheon Technologies, and L3Harris in defense and Rocket Lab and Redwire in space components.

Show full overview

The U.S. government revenue concentration — 86.0% in 2025 — creates binary risk around budget cycles, continuing resolutions, and program cancellations; the 10-K notes that a significant shift in government priorities or delays in spending could have a material adverse effect. Separately, the Starlab segment exposes the company to a long-term pipeline dependency: the $2.8–3.3 billion station must survive competitive NASA Phase II selection against two other funded rivals, with revenue expected no sooner than the first full year of operation post-launch, currently targeted for 2029.

See also: Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

From Voyager Technologies, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 202678d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (86.0%)
Target reached (-7.8% upside)
Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-25.0
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA-21.6
Profit Mgn-78.6%
ROE-30.4%
Rev Growth15.5%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.18bearish
IV94%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. government86%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 86.0% ... of our revenues were derived from contracts with the U.S. government and its agencies'
  • MEDIUMpipelineStarlab
    10-K Item 1: 'we anticipate Starlab will generate a significant portion of our long-term revenue and cash flows'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.6
Value Rank
1.2
Growth Rank
3.6

Unprofitable operations — net margin -78.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
9.2
Cash-burning: FCF -153% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.0
Bollinger
1.7
52w Position
6.4
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.31Resistance $45.40

Price Targets

$40
$44
A.Upside-7.8%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VOYG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.92: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $39.97. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VOYG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.49 (-7.8% upside). Prior stop was $39.97. Stop-loss: $39.97.

What are the risks of investing in VOYG?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. government (86.0%); Target reached (-7.8% upside); Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0).

Is VOYG overvalued or undervalued?

Voyager Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -25.0). TrendMatrix value score: 2.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VOYG?

17 analysts cover VOYG with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $46.

What does Voyager Technologies, Inc. do?Voyager Technologies designs and operates defense technology and space systems across three segments — Defense &...

Voyager Technologies designs and operates defense technology and space systems across three segments — Defense & National Security, Space Solutions, and Starlab Space Stations — serving primarily U.S. government customers. Revenue was $166.4 million in 2025, with approximately 86% from U.S. government contracts; the company reported net losses of $112.3 million. Starlab, a commercial space station planned to launch in 2029 at an estimated $2.8–3.3 billion cost, is anticipated to generate a significant portion of long-term revenue.

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