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VMDViemed Healthcare, Inc.Hold5.6·$11.77+0.86%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Viemed pairs industry-leading 28% revenue growth and strong cash conversion with a stock trading near its highs where the engine's asymmetry gate has failed - leverage risk, overbought momentum, and modest insider selling temper an otherwise fundamentally sound growth story.

Thesis pillars

  • Industry Leading Revenue GrowthImproving
  • Asymmetry Gate Signals Limited UpsideStable
  • Strong Cash Conversion And Piotroski ScoreStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Viemed Healthcare, Inc. (VMD) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Viemed Healthcare provides home medical equipment and post-acute healthcare services in the United States, focused on respiratory, chronic-care, and women's health products across all 50 states. Revenue comes primarily from Medicare, Medicaid, and private-insurer reimbursement... Read more

$11.77-20.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#32 of 62 Medical Devices
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.27%
Stop $11.05Target $12.36(resistance)A.R:R -3.4:1
Analyst target$11.00-6.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Outperforming peers
Wide economic moat
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.8
P/E (Fwd)29.4
Mkt Cap$451M
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn5.2%
ROE10.9%
Rev Growth27.5%
Beta1.10
DividendNone
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV60%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerMedicare program
    10-K Item 1A: 'We earn revenues by seeking reimbursement for our products and services from governmental healthcare programs and private health insurance companies, primarily from the federal Medicare program.'
  • MEDIUMSuppliera few equipment manufacturers
    10-K Item 1A: 'Dependence on only a few manufacturers presents risks that suppliers may not be able to provide or adequately provide sufficient equipment to satisfy demand.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-04Item 5.02LOW
    At its June 4, 2026 Annual Meeting, shareholders approved a second amendment to the 2024 Long Term Incentive Plan, raising shares reserved for issuance to 7,696,717. Routine equity-plan amendment, not an officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings in 9 days

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.2
Macd
1.7
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
7.6
Uptrend pullback (RSI 39) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -3.4=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.15Resistance $12.61

Price Targets

$11
$12
A.Upside-20.6%
A.R:R-3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-20.6% upside)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VMD stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $11.77, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $12.36 (+5.0%), stop $11.05 (−6.5%), A.R:R -3.4:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VMD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.36 (-20.6% upside). Target $12.36 (+5.0%), stop $11.05 (−6.5%), A.R:R -3.4:1. Stop-loss: $11.05.

What are the risks of investing in VMD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is VMD overvalued or undervalued?

Viemed Healthcare, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.8 (forward 29.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about VMD?

6 analysts cover VMD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Viemed Healthcare, Inc. do?Viemed Healthcare provides home medical equipment and post-acute healthcare services in the United States, focused on...

Viemed Healthcare provides home medical equipment and post-acute healthcare services in the United States, focused on respiratory, chronic-care, and women's health products across all 50 states. Revenue comes primarily from Medicare, Medicaid, and private-insurer reimbursement for equipment rentals and clinical services, plus healthcare staffing; the company employs 401 licensed respiratory therapists, about 29% of its workforce.

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