Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $2.31
- Estimate
- $2.00
- Surprise
- +15.4%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $1.23B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.6 → 5.5/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) beat the $2.00 estimate with diluted EPS of $2.31 — a large 15.4% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (5.6/10) to Sell at 5.5/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates VAC Sell at 5.5/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +15.4% surprise compares with a +0.6% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Product: Vacation Ownership segment (95.0%)
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $106.62
- Price target
- $121.64
- Stop
- $99.16
- Upside to target
- +14.1%
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
VAC at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Resorts & Casinos
- Market cap
- $3.41B
- P/E (fwd)
- 10.4
- 52-week range
- $44.58–$131.34
- Off 52-week high
- 18.8%
- RSI (14)
- 36
- Volume vs avg
- 1.40×
- Score today
- 5.5/10