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USASAmericas Gold and Silver CorporSell5.6·$5.36-3.25%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Americas Gold and Silver has delivered 188% year-over-year revenue growth and ranks as an industry growth leader, with analysts pointing to 44% price upside, but consecutive earnings misses over 3 quarters and free cash flow burning at 20% of revenue signal that rapid revenue growth has not yet translated to financial sustainability.

Thesis pillars

  • Explosive Revenue GrowthStable
  • Analyst Upside CatalystStable
  • Earnings Miss StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Americas Gold and Silver Corpor (USAS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $5.36: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Americas Gold and Silver Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in the Americas. The company explores for gold, silver, zinc, lead, and other by-products. The company was formerly known as... Read more

$5.36+46.7% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#11 of 33 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-4.50%
Stop $4.98Target $7.86(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.9:1
Analyst target$9.25+72.6%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $5.36: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202664d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 47%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA39.0
Profit Mgn-26.3%
ROE-27.1%
Rev Growth72.1%
Beta2.28
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.75bearish
IV76%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/2M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.2
Value Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
6.3
GatesMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5A.R:R 3.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.90Resistance $5.88

Price Targets

$5
$8
A.Upside+46.7%
A.R:R3.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts12
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$9

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USAS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $5.36: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $4.98. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the USAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.86 (+46.7% upside). Prior stop was $4.98. Stop-loss: $4.98.

What are the risks of investing in USAS?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is USAS overvalued or undervalued?

Americas Gold and Silver Corpor trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about USAS?

12 analysts cover USAS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Americas Gold and Silver Corpor do?Americas Gold and Silver Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and...

Americas Gold and Silver Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in the Americas. The company explores for gold, silver, zinc, lead, and other by-products. The company was formerly known as Americas Silver Corporation and changed its name to Americas Gold and Silver Corporation in September 2019. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: NEXA (Nexa Resources S.A.) · ELVR (Elevra Lithium Limited - Americ) · IPX (IperionX Limited) · LAR (Lithium Argentina AG) · MTRN (Materion Corporation)
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