United Parcel Service (UPS) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.69
- Estimate
- $1.62
- Surprise
- +4.0%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.2 → 5.4/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
United Parcel Service (UPS) beat the $1.62 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.69 — a clear 4.0% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.2/10) to Sell at 5.4/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates UPS Sell at 5.4/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +4.0% surprise compares with a +5.7% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
- Positive momentum
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
- Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $106.09
- Stop
- $101.15
The stock trades at 19.7× trailing but 13.1× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 88 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum; trading volume is running 2.3× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-28 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
UPS at TrendMatrix's latest read
Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.
- Industry
- Integrated Freight & Logistics
- Market cap
- $90.26B
- P/E (fwd)
- 13.1
- P/E (ttm)
- 19.7
- 52-week range
- $90.84–$122.41
- Off 52-week high
- 13.3%
- RSI (14)
- 88
- Volume vs avg
- 2.25×
- Score today
- 5.4/10