Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Ne (UGP) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.26
- Estimate
- $0.23
- Surprise
- +9.9%
- Score today
- 6.5/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Ne (UGP) beat the $0.23 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.26 — a clear 9.9% upside surprise.
Coverage in the report window
- Vylor, Franco-Nevada On Deck Wednesday As New Coverage, Gold Prices Face Test — benzinga, 2026-11-10
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates UGP Hold at 6.5/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +9.9% surprise compares with a +13.6% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-03-03.
What supports the rating
- Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Earnings estimates trending DOWN
- Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.03% of cap)
- Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $5.63
- Price target
- $6.44
- Stop
- $5.24
- Upside to target
- +14.4%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.4:1
At 9.1× trailing and 9.6× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Risk check: RSI 11 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-13 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
UGP at TrendMatrix's latest read
Energy results are commodity-price arithmetic first; the operational beat or miss is read net of what the strip already told the market.
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
- Market cap
- $5.99B
- P/E (fwd)
- 9.6
- P/E (ttm)
- 9.1
- 52-week range
- $3.60–$8.28
- Off 52-week high
- 32.0%
- RSI (14)
- 11
- Volume vs avg
- 1.43×
- Score today
- 6.5/10