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TRCTejon Ranch CoSell5.2·$18.86-0.26%
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Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.86: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Tejon Ranch Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified real estate development and agribusiness company. It operates through six segments: Real Estate - Commercial/Industrial; Multifamily; Real Estate - Resort/Residential; Mineral Resources; Farming; And... Read more

$18.86+18.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#9 of 19 Conglomerates
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-2.43%
Stop $17.90Target $22.31(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.6:1
Analyst target$26.25+39.2%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.86: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)314.3
P/E (Fwd)171.5
Mkt Cap$509M
EV/EBITDA437.2
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE0.3%
Rev Growth15.8%
Beta0.60
DividendNone
Rating analysts1

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.11bullish
IV76%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roe
0.1
Net Margin
1.7
Moat
6.4
Piotroski F
7.8
Current Ratio
9.3
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -732% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9Quality concerns

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Forward Pe
1.0
Ps
3.4
Peg Ratio
4.4
Forward P/E: 171.5xPEG: 2.06Expensive valuation

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.3
Quality Rank
2.5
Growth Rank
7.2
GatesMomentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.10Resistance $19.79

Price Targets

$18
$22
A.Upside+18.3%
A.R:R3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.86: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $17.90. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.31 (+18.3% upside). Prior stop was $17.90. Stop-loss: $17.90.

What are the risks of investing in TRC?

Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is TRC overvalued or undervalued?

Tejon Ranch Co trades at a P/E of 314.3 (forward 171.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does Tejon Ranch Co do?Tejon Ranch Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified real estate development and agribusiness...

Tejon Ranch Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified real estate development and agribusiness company. It operates through six segments: Real Estate - Commercial/Industrial; Multifamily; Real Estate - Resort/Residential; Mineral Resources; Farming; And Ranch Operations. The Real Estate - Commercial/Industrial segment engages in the planning and permitting of land for development; construction of infrastructure and building, pre-leased buildings, and buildings to be leased or sold; sale of land to third parties for their own development; and activities related to communications leases, a power plant lease, and landscape maintenance. This segment also leases land to various auto service stations with convenience stores, fast-food operations, a motel, an antique shop, and a post office; various microwave repeater locations, radio and cellular transmitter sites, and fiber optic cable routes; and package of land for an electric power plant. The Multifamily segment engages in development, leasing, and long-term ownership of residential rental communities. The Real Estate - Resort/Residential segment engages in land entitlement, planning, pre-construction engineering, stewardship, and conservation activities. The Mineral Resources segment includes oil and gas royalties, rock and aggregate royalties, and royalties from a cement operation leased to National Cement Company of California, Inc.; and the management of water assets and infrastructure projects. The Farming segment farms, produces, and sells wine grapes, almonds, pistachios, hay, and olives. The Ranch Operations segment includes grazing lease and game management, and land maintenance activities, as well as ancillary land uses comprising filming; and guided game hunts. Tejon Ranch Co. was founded in 1843 and is based in Lebec, California.

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