Turning Point Brands (TPB) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.41
- Estimate
- $0.32
- Surprise
- +29.5%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $151.1M
- Score today
- 6.0/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Turning Point Brands (TPB) beat the $0.32 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.41 — a large 29.5% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates TPB Sell at 6.0/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +29.5% surprise compares with a +9.8% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Risk below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
- Momentum score 1.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
- Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $62.96
- Price target
- $103.09
- Stop
- $58.55
- Upside to target
- +63.7%
- Reward-to-risk
- 4.6:1
The stock trades at 45.5× trailing but 29.1× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-10 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
TPB at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Tobacco
- Market cap
- $1.23B
- P/E (fwd)
- 29.1
- P/E (ttm)
- 45.5
- 52-week range
- $54.17–$146.90
- Off 52-week high
- 57.1%
- RSI (14)
- 47
- Volume vs avg
- 0.18×
- Score today
- 6.0/10