Turning Point Brands (TPB) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.23
- Estimate
- $0.24
- Surprise
- -3.4%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $143.0M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.3 → 5.2/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Turning Point Brands (TPB) reported adjusted EPS of $0.23, in line with the $0.24 estimate. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.3/10) to Hold at 5.2/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates TPB Hold at 5.4/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -3.4% surprise compares with a +9.7% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-04.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
- Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
What argues against it
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
- Negative momentum
- Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $60.09
- Price target
- $103.09
- Stop
- $56.81
- Upside to target
- +71.6%
- Reward-to-risk
- 7.3:1
At 26.2× trailing and 26.9× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Risk check: RSI 5 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-24 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
TPB at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Tobacco
- Market cap
- $1.21B
- P/E (fwd)
- 26.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 26.2
- 52-week range
- $58.63–$146.90
- Off 52-week high
- 59.1%
- RSI (14)
- 5
- Volume vs avg
- 0.93×
- Score today
- 5.4/10