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TOLToll Brothers, Inc.Hold4.9·$147.09+1.36%

Toll Brothers (TOL) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+0.9% vs estimateEPS $2.97 vs $2.94 estVerdict Buy (Wait)Hold

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$2.97
Estimate
$2.94
Surprise
+0.9%
Score at report (before → after)
4.95.1/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Toll Brothers (TOL) beat the $2.94 estimate with diluted EPS of $2.97 — a modest 0.9% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (4.9/10) to Hold at 5.1/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-08-23

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates TOL Hold at 4.9/10.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +0.9% surprise compares with a +1.0% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-12-08.

What supports the rating

  • Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
  • Earnings estimates trending UP

What argues against it

  • Thin upside margin: 4.5%
  • Weak overall score: 4.9/10
  • Weak growth

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$147.09
Price target
$153.72
Stop
$137.63
Upside to target
+4.5%
Reward-to-risk
0.7:1

At 11.7× trailing and 10.5× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-08-23 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Cyclical context

TOL at TrendMatrix's latest read

Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.

Industry
Residential Construction
Market cap
$13.75B
P/E (fwd)
10.5
P/E (ttm)
11.7
52-week range
$123.15$168.36
Off 52-week high
12.6%
RSI (14)
46
Volume vs avg
0.85×
Score today
4.9/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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