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TOLToll Brothers, Inc.Sell5.0·$160.60+6.39%
TOL · Concentration risk · 10-K extracted

Toll Brothers (TOL) concentration risks

Updated

The most significant concentration Toll Brothers discloses is California, classified MEDIUM by disclosed size. Below: the full set from the latest 10-K — verbatim quotes, filing references, and a synthesis of what these exposures mean together.

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Source: Toll Brothers’s SEC Form 10-K filed view the filing on SEC EDGAR ↗

At a glance

Disclosed-size breakdown · 1 disclosed concentration

HIGH0
MEDIUM1
LOW0
Disclosed concentrations

Each card carries a disclosed-size chip (HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW — how large the exposure is as a share of revenue, not how dangerous it is) and a nature tag: Built-in(the company’s own model, geography, or products) or Outside party (an external customer, supplier, or distributor it relies on).

MEDIUMBuilt-inGeographic

California

10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our revenues and income from operations are concentrated in California'
SEC 10-K · filed Dec 2025
TrendMatrix Research · concentration synthesis

What these concentrations mean together

updated 2026-06-24

The company's disclosed concentration profile rests on a single geographic exposure: a significant portion of revenues and income from operations are concentrated in California. This is a medium-share, structural concentration reflecting where a meaningful segment of the company's homebuilding communities, land holdings, and buyer demand are situated. The structural character is appropriate — geographic concentration in homebuilding reflects years of land acquisition, entitlement processes, and community development cycles that are not easily relocated; it is an embedded feature of the company's asset base rather than a single customer relationship. California's construction and real estate markets carry specific sensitivities that make this geographic tilt worth monitoring: permit and entitlement timelines are among the longest and most complex of any state, environmental regulatory requirements add cost and schedule risk, property tax reassessments affect buyer affordability calculations, and the state's elevated price points tie demand to high-income buyers who are more sensitive to interest rate moves on large mortgages. A meaningful downturn in California employment, home prices, or affordability would affect the concentrated portion of the revenue and earnings base more acutely than a national homebuilder with a more diversified geographic footprint. No customer, supplier, or counterparty concentrations are disclosed beyond this state-level geographic tilt. The profile is therefore relatively uncomplicated: the key variables to monitor are California-specific housing demand, permit throughput, and affordability conditions, alongside the broader interest rate environment that governs buyer qualification in the premium price segments where the company primarily operates.

For the engine’s reasoning on TOL’s current verdict — including which dimensions drove the score — see the per-dimension breakdown.

Industry peers · Residential Construction

Peer concentration profile

SymbolNameHIGHMEDIUMLOWTotal
CVCOCavco Industries, Inc.3205
KBHKB Home2204
DHID.R. Horton, Inc.2002
IBPInstalled Building Products, In1102
GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc.0101
TOLToll Brothers, Inc.0101

Concentration counts reflect items disclosed in each peer’s most recent 10-K; disclosed-size classification uses TrendMatrix’s internal 10-K extraction taxonomy.

Concentration disclosures are extracted verbatim from SEC 10-K filings; the disclosed-size classification and the synthesis above are engine-derived. Size reflects how large each exposure is against fixed share thresholds (HIGH >50%, MEDIUM 25–50%, LOW <25% or an explicit diversification statement), not a judgment of how dangerous it is, and is not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or a view on the stock. Not a complete list of risk factors — see the full filing.

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