Skip to main content
TMCRThe Metals Royalty Company Inc.Hold4.9·$5.87+7.12%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

The Metals Royalty Company shows a steep drawdown with capitulation-level technicals and weak quality metrics, and this run's analyst target was itself flagged as an implausible data outlier, leaving the large headline upside estimate on shaky ground.

Thesis pillars

  • Data Issue Implausible TargetStable
  • Steep Drawdown Capitulation RiskStable
  • Quality Below Floor Weak PiotroskiStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (TMCR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $20.35 vs price $5.87 — ratio 3.5×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $363M below $400M minimum.

The Metals Royalty Company Inc. engages in the acquisition and management of metals and mineral royalties, streams, and other related interests in North America. It primarily holds a 2.0% interest in the NORI property, a polymetallic nodule project located in southwest of San... Read more

$5.87+29.3% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#20 of 34 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield
Stop $5.46Target $7.59(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$20.35+246.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $20.35 vs price $5.87 — ratio 3.5×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $363M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Market cap $363M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25

Recent Developments — The Metals Royalty Company Inc.

Generated 2026-07-25T14:12:25Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $20.35 vs price $5.87 — ratio 3.5×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
Market cap $363M below $400M minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-58.7
Mkt Cap$363M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts1

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.5
Current Ratio
5.0
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $5.14Resistance $7.75

Price Targets

$5
$8
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $20.35 vs price $5.87 — ratio 3.5×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.
! Market cap $363M below $400M minimum

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for TMCR.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TMCR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $5.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $20.35 vs price $5.87 — ratio 3.5×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $363M below $400M minimum. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Market cap $363M below $400M minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $7.59 (+29.3%), stop $5.46 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TMCR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.59 (+29.3% upside). Target $7.59 (+29.3%), stop $5.46 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $5.46.

What are the risks of investing in TMCR?

DATA_ISSUE: analyst_target_implausible (raw $20.35 vs price $5.87 — ratio 3.5×). Rejected, falling back to technical TP.; Market cap $363M below $400M minimum.

Is TMCR overvalued or undervalued?

The Metals Royalty Company Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -58.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

0
What does The Metals Royalty Company Inc. do?The Metals Royalty Company Inc. engages in the acquisition and management of metals and mineral royalties, streams, and...

The Metals Royalty Company Inc. engages in the acquisition and management of metals and mineral royalties, streams, and other related interests in North America. It primarily holds a 2.0% interest in the NORI property, a polymetallic nodule project located in southwest of San Diego, California. The company was formerly known as Low Carbon Royalties Inc. and changed its name to The Metals Royalty Company Inc. in September 2025. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Calgary, Canada.

Related stocks: SCZM (Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd.) · NEXA (Nexa Resources S.A.) · CRML (Critical Metals Corp.) · USAS (Americas Gold and Silver Corpor) · LAR (Lithium Argentina AG)
Home Stocks TMCR

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga12d ago
Benzinga25d agoProduct