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TDToronto Dominion Bank (The)Hold5.9·$122.32-0.80%

Toronto Dominion Bank (The) (TD) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+12.1% vs estimateEPS $2.77 vs $2.47 estVerdict Buy (Wait)Sell

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$2.77
Estimate
$2.47
Surprise
+12.1%
Score at report (before → after)
5.05.2/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Toronto Dominion Bank (The) (TD) beat the $2.47 estimate with diluted EPS of $2.77 — a large 12.1% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.0/10) to Sell at 5.2/10 after the report.

Current read · as of 2026-09-04

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates TD Hold at 5.9/10.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +12.1% surprise compares with a +4.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-12-03.

What supports the rating

  • Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
  • Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)

What argues against it

  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
  • Near 52-week high (2.5% away)
  • V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$122.32
Price target
$140.62
Stop
$117.54
Upside to target
+15.0%

The stock trades at 18.0× trailing but 15.3× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Financial Services context

TD at TrendMatrix's latest read

For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.

Industry
Banks - Diversified
Market cap
$202.04B
P/E (fwd)
15.3
P/E (ttm)
18.0
52-week range
$74.11$125.47
Off 52-week high
2.5%
RSI (14)
45
Volume vs avg
0.13×
Score today
5.9/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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