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SWSmurfit WestRock plcSell5.7·$40.33

Smurfit WestRock (SW) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

MISS-21.6% vs estimateEPS $0.45 vs $0.57 estCurrent verdict Sell 5.7/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$0.45
Estimate
$0.57
Surprise
-21.6%
Score today
5.7/10

Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

Smurfit WestRock (SW) missed the $0.57 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.45 — a large 21.6% shortfall.

Around the report

Coverage in the report window

  • Smurfit Westrock Reports Q3 2026 Financial Results and Lowers Full-Year Outlook — fiscal.ai, 2026-10-28
  • Berenberg Maintains Hold Rating on Sodexo — fiscal.ai, 2026-10-28
  • Smurfit WestRock Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-10-28
Current read · as of 2026-10-29

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates SW Sell at 5.7/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

0 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -21.6% surprise compares with a -24.7% four-quarter average.

What argues against it

  • Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$40.33
Price target
$50.73
Stop
$37.92
Upside to target
+25.8%
Reward-to-risk
3.8:1

The stock trades at 44.8× trailing but 11.3× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Risk check: trading volume is running 2.5× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-29 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Cyclical context

SW at TrendMatrix's latest read

Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.

Industry
Packaging & Containers
Market cap
$21.15B
P/E (fwd)
11.3
P/E (ttm)
44.8
52-week range
$32.73–$52.65
Off 52-week high
23.4%
RSI (14)
42
Volume vs avg
2.53×
Score today
5.7/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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