StoneCo (STNE) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $2.40
- Estimate
- $2.42
- Surprise
- -0.9%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.9 → 6.9/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
StoneCo (STNE) missed the $2.42 estimate with adjusted EPS of $2.40 — a modest 0.9% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (6.9/10) to Hold at 6.9/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates STNE Buy (Wait) at 6.0/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -0.9% surprise compares with a +4.4% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-12.
What supports the rating
- V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
- High-quality business
What argues against it
- Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.9): -1.0
- Weak growth
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $11.56
- Entry target
- $10.91
- Price target
- $13.86
- Stop
- $10.15
- Upside to target
- +19.9%
- Reward-to-risk
- 1.3:1
At 4.6× trailing and 4.9× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Risk check: RSI 77 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-14 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
STNE at TrendMatrix's latest read
Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.
- Industry
- Software - Infrastructure
- Market cap
- $2.72B
- P/E (fwd)
- 4.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 4.6
- 52-week range
- $8.95–$19.64
- Off 52-week high
- 41.1%
- RSI (14)
- 77
- Volume vs avg
- 0.34×
- Score today
- 6.0/10