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SSMRSunshine Silver Mining & RefiniSell4.8·$17.74-0.45%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sunshine Silver Mining shows notable insider selling and a below-floor quality score with two value-trap signals, while a failed asymmetry gate signals the current risk/reward is unfavorable despite modest analyst-implied upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Notable Insider SellingStable
  • Quality Floor Breach Value TrapDeteriorating
  • Failed Asymmetry Risk RewardStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refini (SSMR) Stock Analysis

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.74: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the United States. It primarily explores silver and copper deposits. The company's principal asset is the Sunshine Complex covering an area of 9,561 hectares located in... Read more

$17.74-5.2% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#25 of 33 Other Industrial Metals & Mining
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
Stop $16.50Target $19.22(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$19.33+9.0%6 analysts
$19.22our TP
$17.74price
$19.33mean
$15
$23

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.74: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 202669d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-5.2% upside)
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-67.2
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA-42.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.5
Rsi
3.9
Ma Position
7.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.5
Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.26%=MODERATENo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $15.47Resistance $19.61

Price Targets

$17
$19
A.Upside-5.2%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SSMR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.74: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.50. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SSMR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.22 (-5.2% upside). Prior stop was $16.50. Stop-loss: $16.50.

What are the risks of investing in SSMR?

Target reached (-5.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is SSMR overvalued or undervalued?

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refini trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -67.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SSMR?

12 analysts cover SSMR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Sunshine Silver Mining & Refini do?Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the...

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in the United States. It primarily explores silver and copper deposits. The company's principal asset is the Sunshine Complex covering an area of 9,561 hectares located in the Coeur d'Alene Mining District located in the Silver Valley in Idaho. Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Kellogg, Idaho.

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