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SNPSSynopsys, Inc.Hold5.0·$437.55-3.74%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Synopsys delivers 42% revenue growth and an elite Rule-of-40 score of 83, but the stock is in deep technical distress with RSI at 26 near capitulation levels, consecutive earnings misses, and a forward P/E of 26.3x that prices in a recovery the fundamentals have yet to validate.

Thesis pillars

  • 42pct Revenue Growth Elite Rule Of 40Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses SignalStable
  • Capitulation Risk At Rsi 26Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Synopsys, Inc. (SNPS) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $437.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak overall score: 5.0/10; Negative momentum.

Synopsys sells EDA tools, simulation and analysis software (via the Ansys portfolio), and semiconductor IP across Design Automation and Design IP segments to chip designers and engineering companies globally. Time-based licenses and upfront hardware/IP sales drive revenue; the... Read more

$437.55+16.1% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#92 of 110 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.23%
Stop $421.22Target $507.37(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$563.74+28.8%24 analysts
$507.37our TP
$437.55price
$563.74mean
$404
$650

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $437.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak overall score: 5.0/10; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Synopsys, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-05T16:40:29Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Sep 8, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Weak overall score: 5.0/10
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)100.0
P/E (Fwd)25.3
Mkt Cap$83.7B
EV/EBITDA54.3
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE3.8%
Rev Growth41.9%
Beta1.21
DividendNone
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.09bearish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$310-29.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicsales outside the United States
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive roughly half of our revenue from sales outside the United States'
  • MEDIUMCustomersmall number of large customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we depend on a relatively small number of large customers for a large portion of our revenues'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-27Item 1.01MEDIUM
    Synopsys entered Cooperation Agreement with Elliott Investment Management L.P. on May 26, 2026. Board agreed to appoint Jesse Cohn (Elliott representative) as independent director effective June 1, 2026, with initial term through 2027 Annual Meeting.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-27Item 5.02LOW
    Jesse Cohn appointed to Synopsys Board as independent director effective June 1, 2026, also joining Corporate Governance and Nominating Committee. Appointment made pursuant to Cooperation Agreement with Elliott. No departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02LOW
    Synopsys stockholders approved Amended and Restated Equity Incentive Plan at April 16, 2026 Annual Meeting, adding non-employee directors as eligible recipients. Board and Compensation Committee had previously approved subject to stockholder vote.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.1
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.6
Quality Rank
4.5
Growth Rank
8.6
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $434.25Resistance $500.35

Price Targets

$421
$507
A.Upside+16.0%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 1.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-08 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNPS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $437.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak overall score: 5.0/10; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $507.37 (+16.0%), stop $421.22 (−3.9%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNPS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $507.37 (+16.1% upside). Target $507.37 (+16.0%), stop $421.22 (−3.9%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $421.22.

What are the risks of investing in SNPS?

Weak overall score: 5.0/10; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is SNPS overvalued or undervalued?

Synopsys, Inc. trades at a P/E of 100.0 (forward 25.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SNPS?

31 analysts cover SNPS with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $564.

What does Synopsys, Inc. do?Synopsys sells EDA tools, simulation and analysis software (via the Ansys portfolio), and semiconductor IP across...

Synopsys sells EDA tools, simulation and analysis software (via the Ansys portfolio), and semiconductor IP across Design Automation and Design IP segments to chip designers and engineering companies globally. Time-based licenses and upfront hardware/IP sales drive revenue; the July 2025 Ansys merger expanded capabilities into multiphysics simulation for aerospace, automotive, and healthcare. Roughly half of revenue is from outside the United States.

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