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SIONSionna Therapeutics, Inc.Sell4.1·$47.05+2.94%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sionna Therapeutics is a pre-revenue biotechnology company with a concentrated pipeline focused on NBD1 stabilizers for cystic fibrosis, offering 25% analyst upside but scoring below the quality floor with a Piotroski score of 2/9, cash-burning operations, high short interest of 17%, and elevated put-to-call ratio of 2.0 that signal significant near-term risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Cystic Fibrosis Pipeline ConcentrationImproving
  • Pre Revenue Cash Burn QualityStable
  • Analyst Upside Vs Elevated Short InterestImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sionna Therapeutics, Inc. (SION) Stock Analysis

SellQualityShortModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $47.05: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Sionna Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing NBD1 stabilizers to improve CFTR protein function in cystic fibrosis, targeting the F508del mutation present in ~90% of CF patients. The company reported net losses of $75.3 million in 2025, funded by... Read more

$47.05-4.4% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#240 of 254 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-2.21%
Stop $43.65Target $50.53(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$51.60+9.7%10 analysts
$50.53our TP
$47.05price
$51.60mean
$23
$63

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $47.05: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27

Recent Developments — Sionna Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-27T14:48:12Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: NBD1 stabilizers
Target reached (-4.4% upside)
Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-16.3
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA-18.9
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-26.7%
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV331%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelineNBD1 stabilizers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are substantially dependent on the success of at least one of our nucleotide binding domain 1 ("NBD1") stabilizers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEINSIDER 2.20%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $40.92Resistance $51.56

Price Targets

$44
$51
A.Upside-4.4%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SION stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $47.05: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 19%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $43.65. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SION stock price target?

Take-profit target: $50.53 (-4.4% upside). Prior stop was $43.65. Stop-loss: $43.65.

What are the risks of investing in SION?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: NBD1 stabilizers; Target reached (-4.4% upside); Quality below floor (1.6 < 4.0).

Is SION overvalued or undervalued?

Sionna Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -16.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SION?

17 analysts cover SION with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $52.

What does Sionna Therapeutics, Inc. do?Sionna Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing NBD1 stabilizers to improve CFTR protein...

Sionna Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing NBD1 stabilizers to improve CFTR protein function in cystic fibrosis, targeting the F508del mutation present in ~90% of CF patients. The company reported net losses of $75.3 million in 2025, funded by $310.3 million in cash and marketable securities after its February 2025 IPO, with no commercial revenue.

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