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SIShoulder Innovations, Inc.Sell4.2·$21.27+3.15%
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Shoulder Innovations, Inc. (SI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Unknown · Unknown

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.27: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

$21.27+5.6% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10Peer score 5.0/10 · 15 Unknown
QualityF-score0 / 9FCF yield
Stop $19.78Target $22.46(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$21.75+2.3%4 analysts
$22.46our TP
$21.27price
$21.75mean
$19
$24

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.27: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 38d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 11, 202638d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-13.1% upside)
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-15.2
Mkt Cap$441M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn
ROE
Rev Growth
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F0/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Volatile — 8.0% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (20%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Piotroski F
0.0
Moat
5.0
Weak Piotroski F-Score: 0/9Quality concerns
Low model confidence on this dimension (29%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Analyst Target
3.0
Expensive valuation
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 38d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.76Resistance $22.92

Price Targets

$20
$22
A.Upside+5.6%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (38d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $21.27: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $19.78. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.46 (+5.6% upside). Prior stop was $19.78. Stop-loss: $19.78.

What are the risks of investing in SI?

Target reached (-13.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is SI overvalued or undervalued?

Shoulder Innovations, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SI?

12 analysts cover SI with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $22.

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