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SANBanco Santander, S.A. SponsoredHold5.1·$14.94-0.76%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Banco Santander's strong technical breakout above all moving averages and solid 34% operating margins support an ongoing recovery thesis, but the analyst consensus target has already been exceeded by 21%, leaving minimal reward relative to downside risk at current price levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Negative Analyst UpsideStable
  • Strong Operating MarginsStable
  • Technical Breakout MomentumStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Banco Santander, S.A. Sponsored (SAN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away).

Banco Santander, S.A. provides various financial products and services to individuals, small and medium-sized enterprises, large corporations, and public entities worldwide. The company operates through five segments: Retail & Commercial Banking, Digital Consumer Bank, Corporate... Read more

$14.94-15.7% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#19 of 20 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.89%(5y avg 3.18%)Payout25.25%sustainable
Stop $14.41Target $17.16(default +15%)A.R:R -2.8:1
Analyst target$14.79-1.0%3 analysts
$17.16our TP
$14.94price
$14.79mean
$13
$17

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.8% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.3
P/E (Fwd)10.5
Mkt Cap$218.6B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn33.5%
ROE13.1%
Rev Growth10.2%
Beta0.93
Dividend1.89%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral
IV45%normal
Max Pain$20+33.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
1.6
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.5
GatesA.R:R -2.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.09Resistance $15.05

Price Targets

$14
$17
A.Upside-15.7%
A.R:R-2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SAN stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $14.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $17.16 (+14.9%), stop $14.41 (−3.7%), A.R:R -2.8:1. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SAN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.16 (-15.7% upside). Target $17.16 (+14.9%), stop $14.41 (−3.7%), A.R:R -2.8:1. Stop-loss: $14.41.

What are the risks of investing in SAN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

Is SAN overvalued or undervalued?

Banco Santander, S.A. Sponsored trades at a P/E of 14.3 (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SAN?

29 analysts cover SAN with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Banco Santander, S.A. Sponsored do?Banco Santander, S.A. provides various financial products and services to individuals, small and medium-sized...

Banco Santander, S.A. provides various financial products and services to individuals, small and medium-sized enterprises, large corporations, and public entities worldwide. The company operates through five segments: Retail & Commercial Banking, Digital Consumer Bank, Corporate & Investment Banking, Wealth Management & Insurance, and Payments. It offers demand and time deposits, mutual funds, and current and savings accounts; mortgages, consumer finance, loans, and various financing solutions; and project finance, debt capital markets, global transaction banking, and corporate finance services. The company also provides credit and debit cards, real estate loans, microfinance, and auto loans; corporate and investment banking services; advice on mergers and acquisitions; wealth, asset, and risk management services; and digital payments and technology solutions. In addition, it is involved in the securitization, leasing, management of portfolios, e-commerce, air transport, aircraft rental, software, consulting, fund and investment management, renewable energy, vehicle rental, insurance, advertising, marketing, telemarketing, automotive, agricultural, factoring, securities brokerage and investment, pension fund management, trade intermediary, venture capital fund, renting, restaurant, electricity production, IT, internet, and financial advisory and other activities; management, and other real estate activities; and purchase and sale of vehicles. Further, the company offers mobile and online banking services. Banco Santander, S.A. was formerly known as Banco Santander Central Hispano SA and changed its name to Banco Santander, S.A. in February 2007. The company was incorporated in 1856 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain.

Related stocks: MUFG (Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group,) · BCS (Barclays PLC) · SMFG (Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group) · C (Citigroup, Inc.) · BAC (Bank of America Corporation)
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