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RNWReNew Energy Global plcSell6.0·$6.10-1.29%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ReNew Energy Global is a renewable energy developer with a PEG ratio of 0.05 and a strong 3-of-4 earnings beat history, but a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.4 and deeply negative free cash flow create value-trap risks in a rising-rate environment where high-leverage utilities face the greatest pressure.

Thesis pillars

  • High Leverage Value Trap RiskStable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Analyst UpsideStable
  • Attractive Valuation Peg Renewable GrowthStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ReNew Energy Global plc (RNW) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $6.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.4): -1.5; Negative momentum.

ReNew Energy Global Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation of power through non-conventional and renewable energy sources in India. It operates through five segments: Wind Power, Solar Power, Hydro Power, Transmission Line, and Manufacturing segments. The... Read more

$6.10+10.0% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 12 Utilities - Renewable
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-1855.49%
Stop $5.77Target $6.70(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$7.88+29.2%4 analysts
$6.70our TP
$6.10price
$7.88mean
$9

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $6.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.4): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.4): -1.5
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.0
P/E (Fwd)8.2
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA8.5
Profit Mgn7.9%
ROE7.5%
Rev Growth9.5%
Beta1.12
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.69bullish
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
3.0
Ma Position
3.0
Volume
4.1
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.95Resistance $6.53

Price Targets

$6
$7
A.Upside+9.8%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RNW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $6.10 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.4): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $5.77. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RNW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.70 (+10.0% upside). Prior stop was $5.77. Stop-loss: $5.77.

What are the risks of investing in RNW?

Leverage penalty (D/E 5.4): -1.5; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is RNW overvalued or undervalued?

ReNew Energy Global plc trades at a P/E of 21.0 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RNW?

9 analysts cover RNW with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $8.

What does ReNew Energy Global plc do?ReNew Energy Global Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation of power through non-conventional...

ReNew Energy Global Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation of power through non-conventional and renewable energy sources in India. It operates through five segments: Wind Power, Solar Power, Hydro Power, Transmission Line, and Manufacturing segments. The company develops and owns utility scale wind and solar energy projects, corporate wind and solar energy projects, and utility-scale firm power projects. It also provides operation and maintenance services; consultancy services; and engineering, procurement, and construction services. As of May 31, 2025, the company operates a 18.46 GWs total capacity of clean energy portfolio. ReNew Energy Global Plc was founded in 2011 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Related stocks: MWH (SOLV Energy, Inc.) · FRVO (Fervo Energy Company) · NRGV (Energy Vault Holdings, Inc.) · CWEN (Clearway Energy, Inc.) · ENLT (Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.)
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