Radian Group (RDN) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.14
- Estimate
- $1.35
- Surprise
- -15.7%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 7.0 → 7.0/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Radian Group (RDN) missed the $1.35 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.14 — a large 15.7% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (7.0/10) to Hold at 7.0/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates RDN Buy (Wait) at 6.7/10.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -15.7% surprise compares with a -0.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-03.
What supports the rating
- V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
- Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Product: Mortgage Insurance segment
- Negative momentum
- RISK-OFF: SMALL-cap BUY_NOW needs quality>=8.5 or MoS>=50%
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $34.32
- Entry target
- $35.00
- Price target
- $38.71
- Stop
- $33.59
- Upside to target
- +12.8%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.6:1
The stock trades at 8.6× trailing but 6.5× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 24 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-24 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
RDN at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Insurance - Specialty
- Market cap
- $4.57B
- P/E (fwd)
- 6.5
- P/E (ttm)
- 8.6
- 52-week range
- $31.50–$41.05
- Off 52-week high
- 16.4%
- RSI (14)
- 24
- Volume vs avg
- 0.08×
- Score today
- 6.7/10