Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (RARE) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- -$1.16
- Estimate
- -$0.75
- Surprise
- -54.4%
- Score today
- 6.0/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (RARE) reported a wider loss than forecast — adjusted EPS of -$1.16 against the -$0.75 estimate (a 54.4% shortfall).
Coverage in the report window
- Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-11-03
- Ultragenyx Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Announces Expense Reductions — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-03
- Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Announces UX701 AAV9 Gene Therapy To Treat Wilson Disease Failed To Meet Criteria, Being Termi — benzinga, 2026-11-03
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates RARE Sell at 6.0/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -54.4% surprise compares with a -15.1% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers
- Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
- Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-22.6% YoY), Negative free cash flow
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $16.63
- Price target
- $23.63
- Stop
- $15.47
- Upside to target
- +42.1%
- Reward-to-risk
- 3.1:1
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
RARE at TrendMatrix's latest read
Healthcare earnings trade on pipeline and payer dynamics as much as the quarter itself; a beat or miss is weighed against trial and reimbursement news.
- Industry
- Biotechnology
- Market cap
- $1.64B
- P/E (fwd)
- 73.7
- 52-week range
- $12.73–$39.89
- Off 52-week high
- 58.3%
- RSI (14)
- 64
- Volume vs avg
- 1.10×
- Score today
- 6.0/10