Skip to main content
QBTSD-Wave Quantum Inc. Common StockSell5.0·$16.25-4.97%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

D-Wave Quantum Inc. has attracted high analyst conviction with a price target implying 40% upside and positive news sentiment from 10 recent articles, but burns cash at 510% of revenue, holds a Piotroski F-Score of only 3/9, and has missed earnings estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters including a -47% negative surprise.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Cash Burn Quality DeficitStable
  • Analyst Sentiment UpsideImproving
  • Earnings Inconsistency RiskDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

D-Wave Quantum Inc. Common Stock (QBTS) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Computer Hardware

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.25: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 6.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

In addition to D-Wave's history of innovation with annealing quantum computers, we have been making steady progress with our gate-model technology development as well. Both the annealing and gate-model technology are built on superconducting qubits which we believe have a... Read more

$16.25+101.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#18 of 22 Computer Hardware
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.06%
Stop $15.54Target $32.67(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 6.8:1
Analyst target$37.56+131.1%14 analysts
$32.67our TP
$16.25price
$37.56mean
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.25: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 6.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 19, MACD bearish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26

Recent Developments — D-Wave Quantum Inc. Common Stock

Generated 2026-07-26T05:12:17Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-41.0
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA-39.3
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-55.3%
Rev Growth-80.9%
Beta2.10
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV114%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-07-14Item 3.01LOW
    Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On July 14, 2026, D-Wave Quantum Inc.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Amended Chief Executive Officer Employment Agreement On April 30, 2026, D-Wave Quantum Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
1.7
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 19, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.6
Value Rank
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.5
Gross Margin
9.3
Cash-burning: FCF -510% of revenueRule of 40: -591 (fail)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 12 days
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5INSIDER 0.61%=HEAVYDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 6.8 ≥ 1.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
19 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.02Resistance $24.73

Price Targets

$16
$33
A.Upside+101.6%
A.R:R6.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 0.61%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QBTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $16.25: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 6.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 19, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $15.54. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QBTS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.67 (+101.6% upside). Prior stop was $15.54. Stop-loss: $15.54.

What are the risks of investing in QBTS?

Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is QBTS overvalued or undervalued?

D-Wave Quantum Inc. Common Stock trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -41.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QBTS?

22 analysts cover QBTS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $38.

What does D-Wave Quantum Inc. Common Stock do?In addition to D-Wave's history of innovation with annealing quantum computers, we have been making steady progress...

In addition to D-Wave's history of innovation with annealing quantum computers, we have been making steady progress with our gate-model technology development as well. Both the annealing and gate-model technology are built on superconducting qubits which we believe have a long-term advantage over all other approaches to quantum computing. We are also leveraging the quantum systems technology we have developed for our annealing technology to accelerate our gate-model program.

Related stocks: SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc.) · RGTI (Rigetti Computing, Inc.) · LOGI (Logitech International S.A. - R) · QUBT (Quantum Computing Inc.) · HPQ (HP Inc.)
Home Stocks QBTS

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga8d ago
Benzinga12d ago
Benzinga13d ago
Benzinga25d ago
Benzinga26d ago
Benzinga33d ago
Benzinga33d ago
Benzinga33d ago
Benzinga33d ago
Benzinga34d ago
Benzinga38d ago
Benzinga38d agoProduct
Benzinga40d ago
Benzinga41d ago
Benzinga41d ago
Benzinga44d ago
Benzinga51d ago
Benzinga51d agoProduct
Benzinga51d ago
Benzinga53d ago
Loading more...