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QBTSD-Wave Quantum Inc.Sell4.7·$22.53-4.13%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

D-Wave Quantum Inc. has attracted high analyst conviction with a price target implying 40% upside and positive news sentiment from 10 recent articles, but burns cash at 510% of revenue, holds a Piotroski F-Score of only 3/9, and has missed earnings estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters including a -47% negative surprise.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Cash Burn Quality DeficitStable
  • Analyst Sentiment UpsideStable
  • Earnings Inconsistency RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

D-Wave Quantum Inc. (QBTS) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Computer Hardware

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.53: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

In addition to D-Wave's history of innovation with annealing quantum computers, we have been making steady progress with our gate-model technology development as well. Both the annealing and gate-model technology are built on superconducting qubits which we believe have a... Read more

$22.53+49.4% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#18 of 21 Computer Hardware
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-0.76%
Stop $20.95Target $33.65(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$37.39+65.9%15 analysts
$33.65our TP
$22.53price
$37.39mean
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.53: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-57.8
Mkt Cap$8.3B
EV/EBITDA-56.1
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-55.3%
Rev Growth-80.9%
Beta2.10
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C1.05bearish
IV108%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Amended Chief Executive Officer Employment Agreement On April 30, 2026, D-Wave Quantum Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.7
Value Rank
5.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
1.5
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Obv
4.8
Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
5.0
Gross Margin
9.3
Cash-burning: FCF -510% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -591 (fail)Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5INSIDER 0.44%=MODERATEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.93Resistance $28.82

Price Targets

$21
$34
A.Upside+49.4%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QBTS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.53: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 3.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $20.95. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QBTS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.65 (+49.4% upside). Prior stop was $20.95. Stop-loss: $20.95.

What are the risks of investing in QBTS?

Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0).

Is QBTS overvalued or undervalued?

D-Wave Quantum Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -57.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about QBTS?

22 analysts cover QBTS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $37.

What does D-Wave Quantum Inc. do?In addition to D-Wave's history of innovation with annealing quantum computers, we have been making steady progress...

In addition to D-Wave's history of innovation with annealing quantum computers, we have been making steady progress with our gate-model technology development as well. Both the annealing and gate-model technology are built on superconducting qubits which we believe have a long-term advantage over all other approaches to quantum computing. We are also leveraging the quantum systems technology we have developed for our annealing technology to accelerate our gate-model program.

Related stocks: SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc.) · RGTI (Rigetti Computing, Inc.) · QUBT (Quantum Computing Inc.) · HPQ (HP Inc.) · UMAC (Unusual Machines, Inc.)
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