Papa John's International (PZZA) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $0.16
- Estimate
- $0.15
- Surprise
- +5.8%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-27)
- $454.8M
- Score today
- 4.3/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Papa John's International (PZZA) beat the $0.15 estimate with adjusted EPS of $0.16 — a clear 5.8% upside surprise.
Coverage in the report window
- Papa John's Warns Cash-Strapped Consumers Are Ordering Less Pizza — benzinga, 2026-11-05
- Papa John's International Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga, 2026-11-05
- Papa John's International, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai, 2026-11-05
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates PZZA Sell at 4.3/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +5.8% surprise compares with a -0.4% four-quarter average.
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Supplier: mozzarella cheese
- Concentration risk — Supplier: garlic sauce
- Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $19.57
- Price target
- $24.36
- Stop
- $18.20
- Upside to target
- +24.5%
- Reward-to-risk
- 2.6:1
The stock trades at 26.2× trailing but 15.4× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-06 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
PZZA at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Restaurants
- Market cap
- $654.8M
- P/E (fwd)
- 15.4
- P/E (ttm)
- 26.2
- 52-week range
- $17.70–$48.83
- Off 52-week high
- 59.9%
- RSI (14)
- 55
- Volume vs avg
- 0.36×
- Score today
- 4.3/10