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PZZAPapa John's International, Inc.Sell4.3·$20.29-2.08%

Papa John's International (PZZA) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+2.2% vs estimateEPS $0.46 vs $0.45 estCurrent verdict Sell 4.3/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure

Event detail · Q2 2026

Key numbers

Reported EPS
$0.46
Estimate
$0.45
Surprise
+2.2%
Revenue (period 2026-06-28)
$482.4M
Score today
4.3/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q2 2026

How the report landed

Papa John's International (PZZA) beat the $0.45 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.46 — a modest 2.2% upside surprise.

Current read · as of 2026-09-17

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates PZZA Sell at 4.3/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +2.2% surprise compares with a -7.2% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.

What argues against it

  • Concentration risk — Supplier: mozzarella cheese
  • Concentration risk — Supplier: garlic sauce
  • Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$20.29
Price target
$24.94
Stop
$19.39
Upside to target
+22.9%
Reward-to-risk
2.8:1

The stock trades at 27.3× trailing but 15.6× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Risk check: RSI 27 — a level conventionally read as oversold; trading volume is running 1.8× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-17 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Consumer Cyclical context

PZZA at TrendMatrix's latest read

Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.

Industry
Restaurants
Market cap
$682.1M
P/E (fwd)
15.6
P/E (ttm)
27.3
52-week range
$20.53$55.74
Off 52-week high
63.6%
RSI (14)
27
Volume vs avg
1.83×
Score today
4.3/10

Earnings figures are sourced from TrendMatrix’s pipeline (EPS: existing earnings extraction; revenue: SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise). Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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