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PVHPVH Corp.Sell5.4·$82.47+0.99%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PVH Corp. has delivered a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak with an average surprise of 16%, trades at a forward P/E of 6.5x with a PEG of 0.06, and shows strong free cash flow at 295% of net income, but the stock is priced at or above analyst targets and carries high short interest of 13% pointing to skepticism about its concentrated brand portfolio.

Thesis pillars

  • Brand Concentration RiskStable
  • Earnings Beat And ValueImproving
  • Free Cash Flow QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

PVH Corp. (PVH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellValueModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $82.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein.

PVH Corp. generated $9.0 billion in 2025 revenues from two owned global apparel brands, TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein, which together contributed over 95% of total revenue across EMEA, Americas, APAC, and Licensing segments. The company sells through wholesale, direct retail,... Read more

$82.47-3.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#7 of 14 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield12.37%
IncomeYield0.18%(5y avg 0.13%)Payout4.55%sustainable
Stop $76.70Target $89.30(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$91.83+11.4%12 analysts
$89.30our TP
$82.47price
$91.83mean
$70
$128

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $82.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 25, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.7
P/E (Fwd)6.5
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn1.8%
ROE3.3%
Rev Growth2.1%
Beta1.75
Dividend0.18%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV50%normal
Max Pain$115+39.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductTOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein
    10-K Item 1: 'TOMMY HILFIGER ... Calvin Klein ... together generated over 95% of our revenue during each of 2025 and 2024'
  • LOWCustomertop five customers17%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to our five largest customers were 16.6%, 15.1% and 13.3% of our revenue in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $76.50Resistance $91.12

Price Targets

$77
$89
A.Upside-3.1%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-25 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PVH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $82.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $76.70. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PVH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $89.30 (-3.1% upside). Prior stop was $76.70. Stop-loss: $76.70.

What are the risks of investing in PVH?

Concentration risk — Product: TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is PVH overvalued or undervalued?

PVH Corp. trades at a P/E of 24.7 (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PVH?

18 analysts cover PVH with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $92.

What does PVH Corp. do?PVH Corp. generated $9.0 billion in 2025 revenues from two owned global apparel brands, TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin...

PVH Corp. generated $9.0 billion in 2025 revenues from two owned global apparel brands, TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein, which together contributed over 95% of total revenue across EMEA, Americas, APAC, and Licensing segments. The company sells through wholesale, direct retail, and digital channels in 40+ countries with approximately 26,000 associates.

Related stocks: KTB (Kontoor Brands, Inc.) · FIGS (FIGS, Inc.) · LEVI (Levi Strauss & Co) · GIL (Gildan Activewear, Inc.) · RL (Ralph Lauren Corporation)
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