NVR (NVR) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $89.45
- Estimate
- $102.77
- Surprise
- -13.0%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 4.5 → 5.0/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
NVR (NVR) missed the $102.77 estimate with adjusted EPS of $89.45 — a large 13.0% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (4.5/10) to Sell at 5.0/10 after the report — the engine's score rose despite the miss.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates NVR Sell at 4.9/10.
1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -13.0% surprise compares with a -4.8% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- Positive momentum
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Customer: homebuilding segment customers
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $6110.63
- Stop
- $5706.87
At 16.9× trailing and 16.1× forward earnings, consensus estimates imply little change in earnings power.
Risk check: trading volume is running 1.5× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-23 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
NVR at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Residential Construction
- Market cap
- $16.28B
- P/E (fwd)
- 16.1
- P/E (ttm)
- 16.9
- 52-week range
- $5501.01–$8200.00
- Off 52-week high
- 25.5%
- RSI (14)
- 54
- Volume vs avg
- 1.53×
- Score today
- 4.9/10