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NRGVEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc.Sell5.5·$4.07-8.95%
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Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. (NRGV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Renewable

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.07: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.54; Below-average business quality.

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. develops and deploys utility-scale energy storage solutions in the United States, Switzerland, United Kingdom, North America, Australia, and internationally. The company offers B-Vault, an electrochemical battery energy storage solution for... Read more

$4.07+18.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#5 of 12 Utilities - Renewable
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-9.11%
Stop $3.76Target $4.77(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$5.48+34.6%5 analysts
$4.77our TP
$4.07price
$5.48mean
$2
$8

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.07: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.54; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — Energy Vault Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-07-05T10:00:59Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-24.4
Mkt Cap$727M
EV/EBITDA-12.6
Profit Mgn-53.0%
ROE-136.3%
Rev Growth156.4%
Beta1.17
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C1.54bearish
IV149%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -53.0%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
0.4
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
4.2
Current Ratio
5.3
Cash-burning: FCF -31% of revenueNo competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 10.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
1.8
Short Interest
2.0
Put Call
3.0
Beta
6.3
Days To Cover
6.4
High short interest justified: 15%Elevated put/call: 1.54High IV: 149%
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $3.79Resistance $6.64

Price Targets

$4
$5
A.Upside+17.2%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NRGV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.07: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.54; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $3.76. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NRGV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $4.77 (+18.1% upside). Prior stop was $3.76. Stop-loss: $3.76.

What are the risks of investing in NRGV?

Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is NRGV overvalued or undervalued?

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -24.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NRGV?

10 analysts cover NRGV with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $5.

What does Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. do?Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. develops and deploys utility-scale energy storage solutions in the United States,...

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. develops and deploys utility-scale energy storage solutions in the United States, Switzerland, United Kingdom, North America, Australia, and internationally. The company offers B-Vault, an electrochemical battery energy storage solution for short-duration energy storage needs; G-Vault, a gravity energy storage solution for long-duration energy storage needs; and H-Vault, a hydrogen or hybrid energy storage solution. It also provides software solutions, such as Vault-OS Energy Management System which provides real-time monitoring, operational control, and optimized dispatch across an array of generation and short to ultra-long duration energy storage assets; Vault-Bidder, which utilizes artificial intelligence to leverage diverse, live data from directly monitored assets and external drivers to provide dispatch and revenue optimization; and Vault-Manager, which converts diverse, real-time data into clear asset performance visibility and insights, facilitating improved decision-making regarding maintenance, augmentation, and expansion. Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2020 and is headquartered in Westlake Village, California.

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