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NPKNational Presto Industries, IncSell4.1·$123.21-0.12%
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National Presto Industries, Inc (NPK) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $123.21: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

National Presto Industries, Inc. provides houseware and small appliance, defense, and safety products in North America. The company's Housewares/Small Appliance segment designs, markets, and distributes housewares and small electrical appliances, including pressure cookers and... Read more

$123.21+7.6% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#63 of 64 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.41%
IncomeYield0.81%(5y avg 1.21%)Payout22.27%sustainable
Stop $117.91Target $132.54(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $123.21: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 24, 202620d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Cyclical trap - fwd PE 142x vs trail 28x (5.1x)
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.5), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.24% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.5
P/E (Fwd)141.6
Mkt Cap$883M
EV/EBITDA19.5
Profit Mgn6.2%
ROE8.4%
Rev Growth14.5%
Beta0.43
Dividend0.81%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.3
Forward Pe
1.0
Pe
4.7
Ps
9.2
Forward P/E: 141.6xExpensive valuation

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.3
Uptrend pullback (RSI 32) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
6.1

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
2.1
Roe
2.8
Net Margin
3.1
Roa
3.6
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.9
Current Ratio
7.1
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -39% FCF/NINo competitive moat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MDividend: 81.0%
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $121.56Resistance $135.24

Price Targets

$118
$133
A.Upside+7.6%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 142x vs trail 28x (5.1x)
! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.5), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.24% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-24 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NPK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $123.21: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $117.91. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NPK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $132.54 (+7.6% upside). Prior stop was $117.91. Stop-loss: $117.91.

What are the risks of investing in NPK?

Cyclical trap - fwd PE 142x vs trail 28x (5.1x); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.5), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.24% of cap).

Is NPK overvalued or undervalued?

National Presto Industries, Inc trades at a P/E of 27.5 (forward 141.6). TrendMatrix value score: 2.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

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What does National Presto Industries, Inc do?National Presto Industries, Inc. provides houseware and small appliance, defense, and safety products in North America....

National Presto Industries, Inc. provides houseware and small appliance, defense, and safety products in North America. The company's Housewares/Small Appliance segment designs, markets, and distributes housewares and small electrical appliances, including pressure cookers and canners; kitchen electrics, and comfort appliances; heat control line of skillets, griddles, woks, and multipurpose cookers; slow cookers; deep fryers; air fryers; waffle makers; pizza ovens; slicer/shredders; electric heaters; corn poppers; dehydrators; vacuum sealers; microwave bacon cookers; coffee makers and coffee maker accessories; electric knife sharpeners; and timers under the Presto Control Master brand. This segment sells its products directly to retailers, as well as through independent distributors. Its Defense segment manufactures and sells 40mm ammunition, precision mechanical and electro-mechanical assemblies, medium-caliber cartridge cases, and metal parts; and performs Load, Assemble and Pack (LAP) operations on ordnance-related products primarily for the United States Government and prime contractors; and manufactures detonators, booster pellets, release cartridges, lead azide, other military energetic devices and materials, and assemblies. This segment primarily serves the United States Department of Defense (DOD) and DOD prime contractors; and niche market ordnance products, such as training ammunition, fuzes, firing devices, and initiators. The Safety segment provides safety technology products, including smoke alarms, carbon monoxide alarms, combo smoke/carbon monoxide alarms with an array of voice messages in English and Spanish, digital displays, and a PFAS-free foam commercial fire extinguisher. National Presto Industries, Inc. was founded in 1905 and is based in Eau Claire, Wisconsin.

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