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NKXNuveen California AMT-Free QualHold5.6·$12.18-0.49%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This is a high-quality, strong-margin holding that has cleared a technical breakout, but it sits near its 52-week high with weak growth and a take-profit level that no longer offers attractive upside from here.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margin Quality FranchiseStable
  • Weak Growth ProfileStable
  • Stretched Near 52 Week HighStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Nuveen California AMT-Free Qual (NKX) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Nuveen California AMT-Free Quality Municipal Income Fund is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Nuveen Investments, Inc. The fund is co-managed by Nuveen Asset Management, LLC and Nuveen Fund Advisors LLC. It invests in the fixed income markets of California,... Read more

$12.18+1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#109 of 239 Asset Management
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield7.06%(5y avg 5.51%)Payout212.09%at-risk
Stop $12.04Target $12.37(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.3
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$651M
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn48.7%
ROE
Rev Growth1.7%
Beta0.62
Dividend7.06%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.9
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Macd
3.2
Volume
4.9
Capitulation risk (RSI 20, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
20 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.18Resistance $12.62

Price Targets

$12
$12
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for NKX.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NKX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $12.18, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $12.37 (+1.6%), stop $12.04 (−1.2%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NKX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.37 (+1.6% upside). Target $12.37 (+1.6%), stop $12.04 (−1.2%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $12.04.

What are the risks of investing in NKX?

Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is NKX overvalued or undervalued?

Nuveen California AMT-Free Qual trades at a P/E of 28.3 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

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What does Nuveen California AMT-Free Qual do?Nuveen California AMT-Free Quality Municipal Income Fund is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Nuveen...

Nuveen California AMT-Free Quality Municipal Income Fund is a closed ended fixed income mutual fund launched by Nuveen Investments, Inc. The fund is co-managed by Nuveen Asset Management, LLC and Nuveen Fund Advisors LLC. It invests in the fixed income markets of California, United States. The fund primarily invests in undervalued municipal securities and other related investments the income which are exempt from regular federal and California income taxes and are rated Baa, BBB or higher with an average maturity of 20.17 years. It employs fundamental analysis with a bottom-up approach to create its portfolio. The fund benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the Standard & Poor's (S&P) California Municipal Bond Index and the S&P National Municipal Bond Index. It was formerly known as Nuveen California AMT-Free Municipal Income Fund. Nuveen California AMT-Free Quality Municipal Income Fund was formed on November 21, 2002 and is domiciled in the United States.

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