Value
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.4 |
| P/S | 7.4 |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.5 |
| PEG | 3.8 |
| Analyst target | 7.5 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 8.8x
- ▸PEG: 2.78
- ▸Attractively valued
NEM · Why this verdict
Why Newmont (NEM) is rated BUY WAIT
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.9/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
9.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 8.6 |
| ROA | 9.9 |
| Gross margin | 9.5 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 8.3 |
| FCF quality | 7.8 |
| Moat | 9.0 |
| Rule of 40 | 9.5 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 26%
- ▸Strong margins: 34%
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
10.0/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 10.0 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 46% YoY
Momentum
4.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 7.0 |
| Volume | 1.1 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 5.8 |
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 8.9 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 34%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.0/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.6 |
| quality rank | 6.2 |
| growth rank | 1.1 |
Technical
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.9 |
| support resistance | 3.3 |
| 52w position | 5.7 |
| gap | 3.0 |
- ▸Extreme gap up (6.8%) - may pull back
Risk (lower is worse)
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.0 |
| days to cover | 8.1 |
| volatility | 0.8 |
| put call | 6.7 |
| implied vol | 4.3 |
| beta | 10.0 |
| debt equity | 9.4 |
| news risk | 5.5 |
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
| news activity | 8.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
- ▸Dividend: 104.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_E_WIDE_MOAT|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLEPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:4.7>=4.5
- ASYMMETRY:1.7>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:38d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)
none
Warning (2)
- MOMENTUM:4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
1.66
Upside
+20.9%
Downside
12.6%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityCONSERVATIVE — Beta 0.46<0.8, Div 104.0%, Q=9.3
Investment implication
The STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict reflects clean gate clearance against Growth at 10.0 and asymmetric R:R of 1.66.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Quality at 9.3, and Sentiment at 7.4; the weakest are Peer rank at 3.0, Technical at 4.2, and Momentum at 4.7. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.66 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.