Vail Resorts (MTN) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- -$5.34
- Estimate
- -$5.35
- Surprise
- +0.2%
- Revenue (period 2026-07-31)
- $278.1M
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.1 → 5.2/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Vail Resorts (MTN) reported adjusted EPS of -$5.34, in line with the -$5.35 estimate. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Buy (Wait) (5.1/10) to Sell at 5.2/10 after the report.
Coverage in the report window
- Morgan Stanley Maintains Equal-Weight on Vail Resorts, Lowers Price Target to $142 — benzinga, 2026-09-30
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MTN Sell at 5.4/10.
0 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +0.2% surprise compares with a -1.8% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-12-09.
What supports the rating
- Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Product: Mountain segment (88% of net revenue) (88.0%)
- Concentration risk — Product: pass products (70.0%)
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $151.01
- Stop
- $141.09
The stock trades at 37.4× trailing but 22.8× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-19 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MTN at TrendMatrix's latest read
Cyclical consumer names live and die on demand momentum — same-quarter comps and guidance carry more weight than the headline surprise.
- Industry
- Resorts & Casinos
- Market cap
- $5.38B
- P/E (fwd)
- 22.8
- P/E (ttm)
- 37.4
- 52-week range
- $118.51–$163.34
- Off 52-week high
- 7.5%
- RSI (14)
- 70
- Volume vs avg
- 0.63×
- Score today
- 5.4/10