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MSMMSC Industrial Direct Company, Hold5.0·$119.30

MSC Industrial Direct Company (MSM) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage

BEAT+3.1% vs estimateEPS $1.45 vs $1.41 estCurrent verdict Hold 5.0/10

Reported

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy

Event detail · Q3 2026

Key numbers

Adjusted EPS
$1.45
Estimate
$1.41
Surprise
+3.1%
Revenue (period 2026-08-29)
$1.08B
Score today
5.0/10

Revenue source: xbrl.

Report record · Q3 2026

How the report landed

MSC Industrial Direct Company (MSM) beat the $1.41 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.45 — a clear 3.1% upside surprise.

Current read · as of 2026-11-11

Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now

TrendMatrix currently rates MSM Hold at 5.0/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.

3 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +3.1% surprise compares with a +4.6% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-01-06.

What supports the rating

  • Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
  • Earnings estimates trending UP

What argues against it

  • Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
  • Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
  • Weak growth

This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.

Current engine read

The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks

Current price
$119.30
Stop
$110.95

The stock trades at 30.0× trailing but 18.2× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.

Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-11 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.

Industrials context

MSM at TrendMatrix's latest read

Industrial quarters are order-book stories — backlog and book-to-bill color how the market reads the reported number.

Industry
Industrial Distribution
Market cap
$6.66B
P/E (fwd)
18.2
P/E (ttm)
30.0
52-week range
$78.80–$133.95
Off 52-week high
10.9%
RSI (14)
38
Volume vs avg
0.67×
Score today
5.0/10

EPS and the estimate come from Yahoo Finance’s earnings calendar, captured around the report date. That EPS is the adjusted figure analysts forecast, so it can differ from the GAAP diluted EPS in the company’s filing, and consensus estimates vary between data providers. Revenue comes from SEC XBRL company facts where available, yfinance-provisional otherwise. Not a buy/sell rating, a price target, or investment advice — see the current verdict on the stock’s main page for TrendMatrix’s live read.

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