Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $6.50
- Estimate
- $5.88
- Surprise
- +10.5%
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.1 → 6.4/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) beat the $5.88 estimate with diluted EPS of $6.50 — a large 10.5% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (6.1/10) to Buy (Wait) at 6.4/10 after the report.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MPWR Buy (Wait) at 6.4/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +10.5% surprise compares with a +4.4% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-29.
What supports the rating
- V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.3 in RISK_OFF)
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
What argues against it
- Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
- Negative momentum
- News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $1221.60
- Entry target
- $1228.95
- Price target
- $1603.10
- Stop
- $1134.71
- Upside to target
- +31.2%
- Reward-to-risk
- 4.0:1
The stock trades at 74.3× trailing but 34.8× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 20 — a level conventionally read as oversold.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MPWR at TrendMatrix's latest read
Technology names get repriced on forward expectations more than trailing prints — a quarter here is read through next-year growth and multiple, not the EPS line alone.
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- Market cap
- $59.64B
- P/E (fwd)
- 34.8
- P/E (ttm)
- 74.3
- 52-week range
- $830.00–$1714.09
- Off 52-week high
- 28.7%
- RSI (14)
- 20
- Volume vs avg
- 1.09×
- Score today
- 6.4/10