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MOVMovado Group Inc.Sell5.3·$37.61-0.95%
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Movado Group Inc. (MOV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods

Sell if holding. At $37.61, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Movado Group, Inc. designs, sources, markets, and distributes watches worldwide. It operates in two segments, Watch and Accessory Brands, and Company Stores. The company offers its watches under the Movado, Concord, Ebel, Olivia Burton, and MVMT brands, as well as licensed... Read more

$37.61+7.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#6 of 7 Luxury Goods
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.65%
IncomeYield4.25%(5y avg 5.10%)Payout99.29%at-risk
Stop $35.21Target $40.38(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$47.50+26.3%2 analysts
$40.38our TP
$37.61price
$47.50mean
$50

Sell if holding. At $37.61, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 27, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.4%
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.7
P/E (Fwd)20.6
Mkt Cap$836M
EV/EBITDA15.0
Profit Mgn4.7%
ROE6.5%
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta0.98
Dividend4.25%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV46%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.1
Growth Rank
2.9
Value Rank
4.6
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.69Resistance $39.85

Price Targets

$35
$40
A.Upside+7.4%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-27 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MOV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $37.61, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $35.21. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MOV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.38 (+7.4% upside). Prior stop was $35.21. Stop-loss: $35.21.

What are the risks of investing in MOV?

Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is MOV overvalued or undervalued?

Movado Group Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.7 (forward 20.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MOV?

6 analysts cover MOV with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $48.

What does Movado Group Inc. do?Movado Group, Inc. designs, sources, markets, and distributes watches worldwide. It operates in two segments, Watch and...

Movado Group, Inc. designs, sources, markets, and distributes watches worldwide. It operates in two segments, Watch and Accessory Brands, and Company Stores. The company offers its watches under the Movado, Concord, Ebel, Olivia Burton, and MVMT brands, as well as licensed brands comprising Coach, Tommy Hilfiger, HUGO BOSS, Lacoste, Calvin Klein, and KATE SPADE NEW YORK. It also designs, sources, markets, and distributes jewelry and other accessories; and provides after-sales and shipping services. The company's customers include jewelry store chains, department stores, independent regional jewelers, network of independent distributors, online marketplaces, licensors' retail stores, and third-party e-commerce retailers. It sells directly to consumers through its e-commerce platforms. The company was formerly known as North American Watch Corporation and changed its name to Movado Group, Inc. in 1996. Movado Group, Inc. was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Paramus, New Jersey.

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