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Capri Holdings Limited (CPRI) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.65: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 4.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Capri Holdings owns three luxury fashion brands—Versace (18% of fiscal 2025 revenue), Jimmy Choo (14%), and Michael Kors (68%)—distributed through retail stores, e-commerce, and wholesale in 100+ countries. Total fiscal 2025 revenue was $4.4 billion, with the Americas generating... Read more

$17.65+36.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#5 of 5 Luxury Goods
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield7.33%
Stop $16.42Target $23.93(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.3:1
Analyst target$26.59+50.7%16 analysts
$23.93our TP
$17.65price
$26.59mean
$46

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.65: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 4.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Capri Holdings Limited

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Michael Kors (68.0%)
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)9.4
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA17.2
Profit Mgn-11.7%
ROE-195.6%
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta1.43
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.70neutral
IV81%elevated
Max Pain$10-43.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductMichael Kors68%
    10-K Item 1: 'Michael Kors — accounted for approximately 68% of our total revenue in Fiscal 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Krista McDonough, Chief Legal and Sustainability Officer, voluntarily resigned effective June 26, 2026 to pursue another professional opportunity. Company initiated search for successor.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Tyler Reddien, age 49, appointed as CFO and COO effective March 30, 2026. Joins from Natura &Co where he held senior finance and strategy roles. Clean handoff with named successor and start date.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.6
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
6.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 8 days

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
2.3
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
4.4
Piotroski F
4.4
Fcf Quality
4.7
Gross Margin
8.6
FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 4%, FCF yield 7.3%)No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 8d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 4.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.93Resistance $21.71

Price Targets

$16
$24
A.Upside+35.6%
A.R:R4.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-27 (8d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPRI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.65: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 4.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 29, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $16.42. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.93 (+36.4% upside). Prior stop was $16.42. Stop-loss: $16.42.

What are the risks of investing in CPRI?

Concentration risk — Product: Michael Kors (68.0%); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is CPRI overvalued or undervalued?

Capri Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CPRI?

22 analysts cover CPRI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Capri Holdings Limited do?Capri Holdings owns three luxury fashion brands—Versace (18% of fiscal 2025 revenue), Jimmy Choo (14%), and Michael...

Capri Holdings owns three luxury fashion brands—Versace (18% of fiscal 2025 revenue), Jimmy Choo (14%), and Michael Kors (68%)—distributed through retail stores, e-commerce, and wholesale in 100+ countries. Total fiscal 2025 revenue was $4.4 billion, with the Americas generating $2.5 billion. Strength rests on brand heritage spanning 28–46 years across each house.

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