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Capri Holdings Limited (CPRI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.74: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.15; Below-average business quality.

Capri Holdings is a global fashion luxury group operating three brands: Versace (18% of FY2025 revenue, 228 stores), Jimmy Choo (14%, 219 stores), and Michael Kors (68%, 711 stores). Revenue comes from retail stores, e-commerce, and wholesale channels across more than 100... Read more

$19.74+22.1% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#5 of 5 Luxury Goods
Stop $18.27Target $23.99(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$26.66+35.0%16 analysts
$23.99our TP
$19.74price
$26.66mean
$46

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.74: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.15; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)10.3
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA18.3
Profit Mgn-11.7%
ROE-195.6%
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta1.46
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.15bearish
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$10-49.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicoperations outside of the United States49%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 49% of our total revenue from operations outside of the United States during Fiscal 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Tyler Reddien, 49, appointed CFO and COO effective March 30, 2026. Previously CFO of The Body Shop (2022-2024) and senior roles at Natura &Co. Successor named; clean handoff.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Krista McDonough, Chief Legal and Sustainability Officer, voluntarily resigned effective June 26, 2026, to pursue another professional opportunity. Company initiated successor search. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.2
Ma Position
4.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
6.0

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Implied Vol
2.0
Volatility
2.2
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Short Interest
4.3
Beta
5.2
Days To Cover
6.2
Elevated put/call: 2.15High IV: 68%Above max pain $10

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Earnings Timing
5.0
Erm
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
2.3
Current Ratio
4.4
Piotroski F
4.4
Fcf Quality
4.7
Moat
5.0
Gross Margin
8.6
FCF-positive despite GAAP loss (FCF margin 4%, FCF yield 6.7%)No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $17.25Resistance $21.71

Price Targets

$18
$24
A.Upside+21.5%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-27 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CPRI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.74: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.15; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $18.27. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CPRI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.99 (+22.1% upside). Prior stop was $18.27. Stop-loss: $18.27.

What are the risks of investing in CPRI?

Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is CPRI overvalued or undervalued?

Capri Holdings Limited trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CPRI?

22 analysts cover CPRI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Capri Holdings Limited do?Capri Holdings is a global fashion luxury group operating three brands: Versace (18% of FY2025 revenue, 228 stores),...

Capri Holdings is a global fashion luxury group operating three brands: Versace (18% of FY2025 revenue, 228 stores), Jimmy Choo (14%, 219 stores), and Michael Kors (68%, 711 stores). Revenue comes from retail stores, e-commerce, and wholesale channels across more than 100 countries.

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