Altria Group (MO) Q3 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $1.52
- Estimate
- $1.51
- Surprise
- +0.9%
- Revenue (period 2026-09-30)
- $6.13B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 5.4 → 5.3/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Altria Group (MO) beat the $1.51 estimate with adjusted EPS of $1.52 — a modest 0.9% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (5.4/10) to Sell at 5.3/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MO Sell at 5.3/10.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +0.9% surprise compares with a +1.1% four-quarter average.
What supports the rating
- V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
- Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Geographic: United States
- Concentration risk — Supplier: single-country nicotine source
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $76.75
- Stop
- $73.45
The stock trades at 16.2× trailing but 13.0× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: trading volume is running 1.6× its average — elevated turnover around the report window.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-10-30 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MO at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Tobacco
- Market cap
- $128.15B
- P/E (fwd)
- 13.0
- P/E (ttm)
- 16.2
- 52-week range
- $54.70–$77.06
- Off 52-week high
- 0.4%
- RSI (14)
- 67
- Volume vs avg
- 1.61×
- Score today
- 5.3/10