Altria Group (MO) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $1.48
- Estimate
- $1.50
- Surprise
- -1.2%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $6.11B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.0 → 6.2/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Altria Group (MO) missed the $1.50 estimate with diluted EPS of $1.48 — a modest 1.2% shortfall. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Hold (6.0/10) to Buy (Wait) at 6.2/10 after the report — the engine's score rose despite the miss.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MO Sell at 5.3/10.
1 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's -1.2% surprise compares with a +0.9% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-10-29.
What supports the rating
- V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
- Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
What argues against it
- Concentration risk — Geographic: United States
- Concentration risk — Supplier: single-country nicotine source
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $69.27
- Price target
- $79.59
- Stop
- $66.39
- Upside to target
- +14.9%
The stock trades at 14.6× trailing but 11.9× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Risk check: RSI 72 — a level conventionally read as overbought; gains at these levels often lean on momentum.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MO at TrendMatrix's latest read
Defensive staples are judged on margin resilience: pricing power against input costs matters more here than top-line drama.
- Industry
- Tobacco
- Market cap
- $116.03B
- P/E (fwd)
- 11.9
- P/E (ttm)
- 14.6
- 52-week range
- $54.70–$77.06
- Off 52-week high
- 10.1%
- RSI (14)
- 72
- Volume vs avg
- 0.11×
- Score today
- 5.3/10