Mach Natural Resources (MNR) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure
Key numbers
- Reported EPS
- $0.58
- Estimate
- $0.38
- Surprise
- +53.4%
- Score today
- 6.8/10
Revenue for this quarter isn’t shown: the reported figure hasn’t cleared TrendMatrix’s freshness and sanity checks yet, and consensus revenue isn’t tracked. EPS above is the available figure.
How the report landed
Mach Natural Resources (MNR) beat the $0.38 estimate with diluted EPS of $0.58 — a large 53.4% upside surprise.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MNR Sell at 6.8/10; no pre/post engine snapshot brackets this report.
2 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +53.4% surprise compares with a -48.2% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2026-11-05.
What supports the rating
- Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
- Attractive valuation
What argues against it
- Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 9.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.41× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
- Consecutive earnings misses (2)
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $12.58
- Price target
- $15.22
- Stop
- $12.12
- Upside to target
- +21.0%
- Reward-to-risk
- 4.2:1
The stock trades at 23.1× trailing but 9.5× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-09-04 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MNR at TrendMatrix's latest read
Energy results are commodity-price arithmetic first; the operational beat or miss is read net of what the strip already told the market.
- Industry
- Oil & Gas E&P
- Market cap
- $2.12B
- P/E (fwd)
- 9.5
- P/E (ttm)
- 23.1
- 52-week range
- $10.46–$15.02
- Off 52-week high
- 16.2%
- RSI (14)
- 47
- Volume vs avg
- 0.58×
- Score today
- 6.8/10