Mastercard (MA) Q2 2026 earnings — TrendMatrix coverage
Reported
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Full disclosure · Editorial policy
Key numbers
- Adjusted EPS
- $5.04
- Estimate
- $4.78
- Surprise
- +5.5%
- Revenue (period 2026-06-30)
- $9.28B
- Score at report (before → after)
- 6.5 → 6.3/10
Revenue source: xbrl.
How the report landed
Mastercard (MA) beat the $4.78 estimate with adjusted EPS of $5.04 — a clear 5.5% upside surprise. TrendMatrix's engine moved from Sell (6.5/10) to Hold at 6.3/10 after the report — the engine's score fell despite the beat.
Where TrendMatrix's rating stands now
TrendMatrix currently rates MA Sell at 5.7/10.
4 of the last 4 quarters beat the estimate; this quarter's +5.5% surprise compares with a +6.2% four-quarter average. Next scheduled report: 2027-01-28.
What supports the rating
- Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
- High-quality business
What argues against it
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- Near 52-week high (4.3% away)
- Leverage penalty (D/E 3.6): -1.5
This section and the ones below it reflect TrendMatrix’s latest engine read — they update after the report date and are not frozen to it.
The levels TrendMatrix's engine tracks
- Current price
- $652.60
- Price target
- $663.03
- Stop
- $618.56
- Upside to target
- +1.6%
- Reward-to-risk
- 0.2:1
The stock trades at 34.5× trailing but 28.5× forward earnings — consensus estimates already build in a substantial earnings recovery.
Model outputs from TrendMatrix’s engine as of 2026-11-13 — shown for context, not personalized investment advice.
MA at TrendMatrix's latest read
For financials, the EPS print is only half the story: credit costs, reserve builds, and rate sensitivity decide how a quarter actually lands.
- Industry
- Credit Services
- Market cap
- $575.61B
- P/E (fwd)
- 28.5
- P/E (ttm)
- 34.5
- 52-week range
- $464.52–$681.99
- Off 52-week high
- 4.3%
- RSI (14)
- 61
- Volume vs avg
- 0.59×
- Score today
- 5.7/10