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KYIVKyivstar Group Ltd.Sell5.9·$13.24+0.53%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Kyivstar is a high-quality, cash-generative business growing revenue at 27% year-over-year while trading at a PEG below 1.5, offering roughly 11% upside to the analyst take-profit target with a favorable risk/reward of approximately 1.6-to-1; the primary risk is that the small market capitalization and high implied volatility can amplify short-term drawdowns.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • Growth Ahead Of ValuationStable
  • Uptrend Pullback EntryDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Kyivstar Group Ltd. (KYIV) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.24 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Kyivstar Group Ltd. provides a range of mobile communication and broadband services for individual and corporate customers in Ukraine and the United States. The company offers a range of connectivity and digital services, including mobile and fixed-line voice and data,... Read more

$13.24+18.0% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#10 of 44 Telecom Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield10.24%
Stop $12.53Target $15.63(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$17.96+35.7%9 analysts
$15.63our TP
$13.24price
$17.96mean
$20

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.24 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 30, 202674d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Wide economic moat
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.2
P/E (Fwd)0.2
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA5.1
Profit Mgn12.5%
ROE12.3%
Rev Growth19.4%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C3.20bearish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$13-5.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
7.4
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 74d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.92Resistance $14.37

Price Targets

$13
$16
A.Upside+18.0%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-30 (74d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KYIV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $13.24 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $12.53. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KYIV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.63 (+18.0% upside). Prior stop was $12.53. Stop-loss: $12.53.

What are the risks of investing in KYIV?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is KYIV overvalued or undervalued?

Kyivstar Group Ltd. trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward 0.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KYIV?

14 analysts cover KYIV with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Kyivstar Group Ltd. do?Kyivstar Group Ltd. provides a range of mobile communication and broadband services for individual and corporate...

Kyivstar Group Ltd. provides a range of mobile communication and broadband services for individual and corporate customers in Ukraine and the United States. The company offers a range of connectivity and digital services, including mobile and fixed-line voice and data, ride-hailing, e-health, and digital TV; a suite of self-service options; and enterprise solutions, such as Big Data, cloud, and cybersecurity. It also provides voice, data, messaging, and wireless internet services; and corporate internet access, fixed-line telephone, data transmission and fixed-mobile convergence, and internet-TV through FTTB network connections. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates. Kyivstar Group Ltd. is a subsidiary of Vimpelcom Amsterdam B.V.

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